The prediction/betting markets broke massively for Trump this week. Polymarket, the largest betting market, has Trump at 60% and Harris at 40%. It also has Trump with more than ten point leads in Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Georgia. Other, smaller betting markets are showing the same big swing. Betting markets are real people making bets with real money. By definition, this means that only people with money, who believe they understand what’s going on in the world, are making the market. Do those people really know more? Does anybody really know anything? And with early voting and mail in ballots, a lot of the vote may already be in.