Can Kamala Harris win the US presidency after Joe Biden’s withdrawal? Here’s what the polls say
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President Joe Biden has withdrawn from the presidential election contest and endorsed his vice president, Kamala Harris. Harris is likely to be the Democratic candidate to face former Republican president Donald Trump in November. Biden's withdrawal was supported by Democratic voters in a recent Ipsos poll. Trump's lead over Biden in national polls has increased following the Republican convention. The Electoral Votes (EVs) system is likely to skew towards Trump. Biden's net approval rating is -17.7, while Trump's net favorability rating is -12.0. It is too soon to analyze Harris vs Trump polls, but Harris may have advantages such as improved economic data and a more favorable age split compared to Biden. Nominating a candidate who has not been battle-tested in the primaries is risky, but switching to a new candidate could be a sensible move for the Democrats. US Senate polls in swing states suggest that Democratic candidates are performing better than Biden. Recent economic data shows a drop in inflation and an increase in real earnings. In June, a net 206,000 jobs were added, but the unemployment rate increased to 4.1%.

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https://theconversation.com/can-kamala-harris-win-the-us-presidency-after-joe-bidens-withdrawal-heres-what-the-polls-say-235185