Oddbean new post about login | logout Polymarket Traders See 55% Chance of Second Trump Presidency The U.S. presidential election is ten months away, and traders from Polymarket, a decentralized prediction platform, seem confident that former President Donald Trump will return to power. As of writing, the Yes side shares in the Trump prediction market tied to the "Presidential Election Winner 2024" contract traded at 55 cents, representing a 55% probability of Trump winning the election. Trump recently won the first two Republican Party primaries, which were conducted to choose the candidate best suited to lead their respective parties. https://www.coindesk.com/resizer/oyv8ZeO1Hh_5bBB0xhms6WAUz2A=/1056x594/filters:quality(80):format(webp)/cloudfront-us-east-1.images.arcpublishing.com/coindesk/QGGD253MAVHCDKMZ7QG5NR4H5Q.jpg
According to President Gabriel Boric, the death toll from the wildfires in Chile has risen to 64, and it is expected to increase further in the coming days. The fires have devastated parts of central Chile, particularly the Valparaiso region, and have caused significant damage to homes and infrastructure . The exact number of casualties is still uncer
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