Well.... Maybe :) 

Incentives are, also, get more zaps. So one should focus on zappers, which may not be the same as focus on larger reach. 

And the bitcoiners seed... I think most movements start with narrow focused groups. Makes more sense. 

I don't see your reasoning as nonsense, on the contrary it's very based. 

But I don't see your examples as crippling by definition. 

Generally speaking I see nostr still far away to the point of being inevitable. 

Can't make an argument about it now.