Oddbean new post about | logout
 I'm not really watching politics, but is Joe like absolutely gone? Just standing there waiting for someone to take his hand and either shake it or lead him to his room?👀 
 For someone who is said to have shat himself on his way to see the Pope in the Vatican, his performance at this party seems quite innocuous. He's just completely lost in important thoughts, such as where am I, why am I here, who are all these people, who am I, and, most importantly, who's this terrible woman and can I smell her hair?

Anyway, yes, he's long gone, and the fact that neither of the major U.S. parties is able to produce a sane candidate for the second time in a row is appalling. 
 Btw. I'd expect China to attack Taiwan within a year (two at most) if he is re-elected. The Chinese commies will be extremely tempted not to let the window of opportunity pass, even if they aren't ready yet. 
 They need to sell all the us treasuries and buy big pile of gold first (doing both as we speak).

One thing, I believe important, aspect is how logistically difficult that operation would be. It's like a Normandy. Not to mention all those US navy ships around.

I dont think it's going to happen any time soon.

But as usually I can be completely clueless...