Oddbean new post about | logout
 Just being here now and understanding #bitcoin is not an indication that you are going to make it from here to there. 

Many will not make it. 
 Bitcoin for the W!!! I've zapped 550k sats in last 2 days 
 Awesome! 👏👏 
 What’s the single greatest predictor of success in the long run? 
 Low time preference 
 IQ, actually 
 No IQ is definitely not an indicator. 

Most 'high IQ' people are lockdowners, pro vaccine mandate and don't get bitcoin 
 Temperament and emotional control 
 🤝 
 never giving a god damn fuck 
 What would prevent someone that gets bitcoin now from making it in your opinion? 

What does making it mean? Not dumping your bags too early? Not getting rugged by the likes of FTX? 
 I think if someone gets bitcoin now, they are gonna "make it" ... 

Anyone operating their life on a foundation of 21million has an advantage over ppl operating on kangaroo bucks.  
 There are all sorts of ways to trip yourself up. I’ve seen it happen to friends. I sincerely hope everyone makes it to the end, but I’ve seen a lot of people fumble the bag. 
 What do you mean fumble the bag? 

Like literally lose a seed phrase? 

People that fumble the bag by investing in other things don’t “get bitcoin” 
 Usually people fumble the bag by giving in to greed or fear. Very few lost seed phrases. 
 I think a big part of “making it” depends on how you manage this relationship:

Size of your #bitcoin stack. 

V.

How long before you’ll completely rely on your #bitcoin stack. 

Would be curious if other factors to be aware of. 
 Just when I was getting my hopes up 🤷‍♂️😂 
 but pepsi said wagmi 
 Nor is it an indication that #bitcoin is. Definitely increases the odds though.

igmi 
 Will simply staying humble and stacking sats not be enough in your opinion? 
 It’s definitely enough imo… if you can do it consistently 
 Where is “there” ? Or is it There? Bcs everyone is going to make it There. 
 Funny things are everywhere 
 hodl wants us to hodl stronger
#iamneverselling 
 We haven't even left Egypt yet 
 We forget bitcoin is the tool, is up to the individual wether to “make it or not” Great power comes with great responsibility. Thai is the way 🔥 
 Make what? 
 What does it even mean to make it? When will somebody make it? 
 Make it to the end with a solid stack 
 The end probably means the day of your death. That would sound reasonable 
 i made dinner  
 🤤 
 “Stay humble and stack Sats.” @ODELL 
 fake and gay