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SBW | 11 months ago (raw) | root | parent | reply | flag +4 
 Hello big guy, let's have a bet. You give me 1 BTC if it reaches $1M+ during 2024, I give you 0.05 BTC if it does not. What say you?

nostr:note1uhpvw3dndc9kul3n55z0sc6avxs6apaje7p74emwc3gesmq03pusx0a3l5
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OT | 11 months ago (raw) | root | parent | reply | flag 
 Sounds fair
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steepdawn974 | 11 months ago (raw) | root | parent | reply | flag 
 We need more Bitcoin bets.

nostr:note14gxwgcvf39ygsf4425ae68rnmqtt2edm8j2my9zezpxp5x3kk7cqtfgz5w
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j | 11 months ago (raw) | root | parent | reply | flag 
 Put your money where your mouth is @Jameson Lopp
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Jameson Lopp | 11 months ago (raw) | root | parent | reply | flag +1 
 So either I lose a million dollars or win slightly under $50,000 in the best case?

Those are weird terms that incentivize me to be as close to losing the best as possible.
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SBW | 11 months ago (raw) | root | parent | reply | flag 
 Yes, all of this is correct. My understanding is you estimate a chance of $1M+ happening to be about zero, so my offered 5% should sound like a free money.