Oddbean new post about | logout
 Here's a question for #asknostr:

Surely, at least some here are convinced that after 2025, another crypto winter will set in, culminating in a #bitcoin bottom somewhere in, roughly 2027.

So... what price will bitcoin reach at the bottom of the next cycle?

Add your #prediction below 👇 
 70-80k 
 What leads you to this range? 
 I'm a time traveller😜. Just a hunch, could be slightly more, could be slightly less. Certainly not over 100k. I'm a realist and see the top as being in the low mid 200 range Sept-Nov next year.

I hope I'm wrong and it sky rockets to 500 but I just don't think it will. 
 I am also a time traveler! Unfortunately, my time machine only goes forward through time, but I'm always moving.  
 5% below the previous peak. Estimating around $55-64k. 

Guestimate based on previous patterns. 
 Nice. Thanks for providing some logic here.



I  
 Over 100k. Bookmark it. 
 I love the optimism! 
 I gave a follow. Will bookmark this response! 
 60k This estiamate is based only in hope 
 nostr:note1r6n9n58d8dwhwc68nylqu6qp52ac78kk9g0jpptxk4g4y894vdvsws63xa 
 This is the best argument for continuing a #DCA strategy throughout the cycle. Soon, t may not actually be a cycle at all. 
 🫡💜🧡