Oddbean new post about | logout
 People think Trump is nuts for claiming he can eliminate income taxes

It can absolutely happen

A (much smaller) US government will be funded by a mixture of tariffs and bitcoin mining

Advancements in technology will allow the US to make most things in-house. This will be a trend worldwide as we move into a decentralized economy

AI will also take most existing jobs - and AIs likely won't be paying income tax...

With that in mind, income taxes will likely fade away either way 

This plan also will not work with the current fiat USD - they will need to print a shit ton of money to make interest payments on debt

People will also need UBI - since they don't have jobs anymore. Which will require even more money printing

I believe Trump is going to take down the Fed - he's been talking about it since Day 1 in politics

He will cut off the Fed and the treasury will issue a new USD backed by bitcoin 

Bitcoin will run up like crazy. People, companies and countries will all be scrambling to get some bitty

The US will need the price to be very high to meet these obligations and make the bitcoin backed USD the new shiny object

Sounds crazy

But it just might happen

It definitely could happen

Does the Fed even have an army?
 
 ...so yer sayin there's a chance  
 The Fed has an army. It’s the us military… fully controlled by the bankers and their employees in US government 
 You're saying the US military would take orders ahead of Commander-in-Chief?

Honest question I don't know the answer to that 
 The Fed is a third party to the US government it can be rugged at any moment 
 I don’t think you get it… if you (USG) are in debt to someone (central bank) do you get to set policy? 
 If your big enough, large enough Yes of course 
 “Commander in chief” is also a bank employee and is only there to execute parts of the central bank business strategy (war) 
 Do you think that the new USD backed by BTC could be a giant E -Cash system run as a mint by the fed aka basically a CBDC backed by bitcoin that operates in many of the same ways as cashu and fedi do but on a larger scale? 
 Yeah I think so 

Except it won't be the Fed

It will be the US treasury

And every state, muni, city and town will have their own ecash mint 
 I’ve thought about this same outcome a lot myself but I’ve concluded it’s not an amusing enough outcome for the simulation to allow for it. It will have to be much dumber and clown world. We still win in the end tho. 
 KYC’ ized e-cash built on a fractional reserve bitcoin backed dollar that may still slowly be rug pulled if we’re not carefully watching it 🤡🤡🤡🤡 
 Or he might just pump his shit coin