Jan 19, 2025.

But it may end just shy.


Did they work Jack? Testing them now.

(I don't have iPhone to test myself)


Correct. Glad this is a priority. Just catching wind of Notedeck now. Looks promising.


The two most important philosophical websites on the internet right here. Always meant to get the posters and put them on my wall.

https://m.primal.net/MCdT.png
https://m.primal.net/MCdU.png


Bitcoin White 3 is nearing completion.

White 4 should be similar in price and time to White 2, but a little more sideways. So roughly a $12k drop, retest-ish of old ATH into Christmas.

Then a January blowoff to the ultimate high.

The higher White 3 goes, the more likely the $130k target is in play. TBD yet. But this is not the place to chase.

https://m.primal.net/MBzH.png


Tesla appears to be in w4 OF White 3. I don't think this is White 4 yet. It's possible. But one more push to $385 (ish) this week may complete White 3.

I got banned on LinkedIn so charts will be posted here for now.

Get the word out to LI verse please.

https://m.primal.net/MBHS.png


Guy smeared me. Told him to get fucked.

Didn't even spell the full word. 🤣


Banned.
6,500 connections.
8yr old acct.

Nostr it is for now. Fuck LinkedIn.

Imma flip tables.

https://m.primal.net/MAaJ.png


Appreciate that. 😍


Remember guys:

-Technical Analysis is astrology.
-It doesn't work.
-I don't understand Bitcoin.🤣 🙄

/Sarc

The below post was 1yr ago and Bitcoin is following it EXACTLY.
The approaching $100k top has been known for TWO YEARS. Bag-hold it at your own peril.

**God I love that Nostr has no deletions or edits to hold trolls accountable.**

nostr:note1mm52syvxmj97w53t6txqgpsq7aqtw2fw4usjcra7ar45lwfk55usrhm9th

https://primal.net/e/note1mm52syvxmj97w53t6txqgpsq7aqtw2fw4usjcra7ar45lwfk55usrhm9th


Ya. They said I was wrong a year ago at $30k when I said it was en route to $70k. Yet that's exactly what happened.

And the chart hasn't really changed since. Hold the bag at your peril.

https://primal.net/e/note1mm52syvxmj97w53t6txqgpsq7aqtw2fw4usjcra7ar45lwfk55usrhm9th


lollllll
https://m.primal.net/Lypr.png


Bitcoin $80k.

Completing White 3 soon. The 14yr top looks to target end of January. Right at inauguration. After that, run.

https://m.primal.net/Lynv.png


Doesn't really matter. El Salvador was the first to start buying Bitcoin in Sept 2021. Bitcoin topped 2 months later.

Buy the rumor, sell the news is a real thing.


Target completion is by Jan I think. Likely right around inauguration.


Yup. Count validated. Relatively smooth sailing to $95k.

Holding after that is Russian Roulette with 5 in the chamber.


Breakout confirming.
Main Target: $100k
Overshoot: $130k

This is a SUCKER's RALLY, completing FIVE Elliott Wave degrees dating back to 2011 in Bitcoin. The end of a 14 year move.

It requires a 90% multi-year crash after topping.

Be. Fucking. Careful.

https://m.primal.net/LuFe.png


Still hasn't broken. Discipline and caution. This thing can snap back in the blink of an eye still.


Need to exercise discipline. Only bullish above $74k.

Not $70k. Not $73k. Not even a touch of $74k. Only above. Markets are in a very eerie place right now ready to play tricks.


The Bean Wallet


Brewstr
Roastr
BitStr Cafe
Boostr
21 Java
Morning Zap
Zap Cafe


The bull alternate count FYI.

Only validates on break of $74k ATH, for a few "last breaths" before crashing. Best to wait for clarity.

https://m.primal.net/Lgkp.png


I didn't say it's going to $15k. Read the nuance. There is risk of it going to $15k.

An 80% correction is required in Bitcoin. Since March we've just been determining if that correction starts from $74k to target $15k.

Or starting from $100-130k to target $20-25k.

No matter where it starts from, it's coming. Because a 5-wave move since 2018 is completing. So I reiterate again. Exercise extreme caution.


It will definitely be over $150k at some point in the future.

But if it goes to $15k first, a smart player can own 4x more of it than they do now. 😉

Let's see if the macro picture clears up here.


Yup, 100% Elliott Wave. As they say: "show me the charts and I'll tell you the news".

Important to caveat, this is not a prediction, yet. But it is a risk warning. Let me quantify the nuance like this:

High conviction bullish = Buy
Unclear charts = Sidelines
High downside risk = Sidelines
High conviction bearish = Short

So it's a risk warning to holders. Hopefully the nuanced logic tree makes sense.


The count still very much valid. Only minor adjustments.

It's important to understand this is not a "call", per say. Yet. It's a risk warning. But downside acceleration to the low $50's will confirm this count for me and turn it into a call.

Just like a break above $74k confirms a target of $100k to $130k. But that also requires an 80% drop to follow.

The point is there is no confirmation EITHER direction in Bitcoin: up or down. But downside risk is very high. And upside potential is low. Thus, the place to be in this market is sidelines until a clear setup presents itself.

https://m.primal.net/LgLe.png


Might wanna check my receipts.

https://m.primal.net/ICpu.png


Thx


🤣 🤣 🤣  I knew that would get you. That's Creed's lead singer, Scott Stapp. Your BFF.

I'll find a way to add it to your playlists. 🫴


Creed.


Hey. Your bestie dropped a new tune last week.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6wV2GFx_mtQ


Ya man. I left after all the Bitcoin Worship. This message needed to hit this audience though.


I wouldn't be holding Bitcoin right now.

This is just the A wave too. Show me low $50's and I'll make the ultimate call: $15k.

Shall I remind you I warned over 10 times that $74k was a possible top. The Bitcoin worshippers on here laughed. Nostr receipts are forever.

https://m.primal.net/LKCe.png


Extremely interesting. But no Play Store links anywhere on their site. Or listed countries of operation.

I take it you can use as a payment processer, then convert back to fiat easily (non maxi's want this).


You have very good takes and are under-followed.


To fight censorship we must understand the attack points:

1) The app itself
2) The app stores it's distributed on
3) The ISP it's accessed over

Each problem needs solving

1) App: Solved via Nostr
2) Stores: Solved via APK distribution on Android
3) ISP: Solved via decentralized internet. Hardware. This is huge and its importance can't be stressed enough.


Free speech ain't for talking about the weather.


Censorship resistance is the ONLY selling point of Nostr.

Without it. Fuck Nostr. Might as well be Instagram.


Mine is dynamic. Ever evolving.

You can be kicked off one branch but be re-entered by another. If the endorser believes you should be. Fully self-regulating by the userbase in real time.


Not Vitor's decision to make, it's the network's.

And if these idiot devs built an algo, we wouldn't have this issue.

Nostr has some of the most brain-dead development I've ever seen. If I was healthy and flush with cash I'd annihilate these clients. They're sitting ducks for disruption.


I told people 100 times on here how to solve spam. None of these fucking devs listen.

Opt in Web Of Trust. End of story.

https://primal.net/e/note1plrkxur0wtmzhtcfl6gyq8wg6wwzna298anj648dzxx9xjzddv6qw8fp68


Censorship.

On a decentralized platform. Big problemo. Tons of fake free-speechers on here riding coat tails.


Nailed it.

Finally honest rational discussion on here instead of blind Bitcoin worship.


This is the solution to the Reply Guy issue. Opt-In endorsing. Said it many times on here.

nostr:note1plrkxur0wtmzhtcfl6gyq8wg6wwzna298anj648dzxx9xjzddv6qw8fp68


The Ol Sybil attack. Let's see how Nostr handles it. A censorship dilemma is created.


No one is worried about the relays. They're quite decentralized. But you can't really use a relay without a client. Right now there's 3 main ones that work. That's why I raise the centralization point.

Open-source and forkable seems to be the most logical key to solving that. Looks like Will is doing that. Good.

Will check out Start9, looks interesting. Thx


Elon's gaslighting is outrageous. Saving free speech, one limited visibility post at a time.

The dude is the king of narrative control.

He sued Jeremy Clarkson TWICE because he didn't like Clarkson's review of the Tesla Roadster on Top Gear. To suppress the bad press.

All of a sudden he's against lawfare, hush suits, censorship, and government subsidies.... Even though he rode each of these things all the way to the top. Insanity.

https://m.primal.net/KfdO.png


Ya that's a good way. PWA is under-rated. Loses device-based functionality like push notifications though.


Good. You're building robustly then.

On the iOS side, there's still App Store risk. Need good ways to sideload iOS apps without the store. Android is easy. I haven't see many non-jailbreak ways on Apple. Ideas?


You're fucking back!?!?!?!?! Holy shit. I left after you did. Just poking my head in.


You have services though, no? API's, your Relay, iOS versions.

Basically, can the app run forever without maintenance? If not, those fail points will be targeted.

Open source is good. If the app can live in a way that even you can't shut it down in any way, you've solved this problem.


The owner of the client. For example, you, in relation to Damus.

Just like they did with Pavel Durov. They'll say, "Will, shut Damus down or we're putting you in a cage".

As a client operator, you need to prepare for that. Because eventually, it's a very likely scenario if Nostr takes off. This is a war.


They can show up to the operators house and stick a gun to their head though. Single points of failure.


He's got a point actually. A decentralized protocol is pointless if clients are centralized.

It's like holding decentralized Bitcoin on a centralized exchange.

I have no idea how to decentralize clients though....


Over the next 5yrs, Elon could own and control:

-The Social Graph (Twitter)
-The ISP (Starlink)
-The ISP Launcher (SpaceX)
-The Bank (X Bank)
-The Car (Tesla)
-The AI driving the car (Autopilot)
-Camera's on tens of millions of cars (God Mode like)
-A humanoid (Optimus)

The person claiming to "save free-speech" is usually the one who wants to control it the most.

Only Nostr people understand how insanely dangerous this is.


Yes but freedom tech on an iPhone is a bit like 20" rims on a Toyota Tercel.


KYC = Bad altogether.


Accurate. Need good proxy network and a ISP bypass network.


Thank you sir. Spot on.👏


We literally expose bot users on LI. 🤦


I want Nostr to succeed. I'm not slamming it to shit on it. I'm pointing out critical issues preventing its mainstream adaptation. To fix them. So it can adopt quicker!

Nostr has the nuts and bolts to do so. And still may eventually.

I'd much rather move to Nostr now, rather than risk bans on LI.

But I'm also not going to post into the void while the growing pains are worked out. Especially when devs show no intention of fixing them.


What client has push notifications?

Not in-app notifications. PUSH notifications.


Think it was just a glitch. But things got a little rowdy over there.


False. All real.

https://m.primal.net/JxQJ.png


Laugh all you want. LinkedIn gets distribution.

Without distribution (an algo), you might as well be shadow-banned. Because the effect is the same.

https://m.primal.net/JxPe.png


Truth hurts.


And this attitude is why Nostr is still under 20k DAU's after 2yr+.

Until it perishes, Nostr will remain smaller than a Reddit Sub. The nuts and bolts exist here to be mainstream though.


Devs won't listen. So Nostr is only backup worthy until they do.

A social network only needs 2 functions:

-An Algo. (For Post distribution + Feed curation)
-Notifications.

Nostr has neither.

It doesn't need all this useless bullshit that Nostr devs seem distracted building. All while the 2 most critical functions remain unbuilt. So back to LI until devs wake up. Or get wiped out.


Only 3 months away from Nostr and I already got a possible LinkedIn ban. I still have access, but they may nuke me.

If they do. I'll be back here.

If not, on LI we stay. For now. (LI has been great other than this)

Drop any major Nostr developments I missed in the last 3 months.

https://m.primal.net/JkgN.png


Massive scoop. Thx.


I'm leaving Nostr indefinitely.

I joined because legacy social muzzled my voice via censorship.

However, the lack of post distribution on #Nostr is equally as muzzling. Defeating Nostr's entire value proposition.

The insufferable Bitcoin Worship and fake positivity here is the cherry on top.

While Nostr development is fast, it's highly misguided.  Dev priorities are upside down. I don't see devs clueing in until enough people leave. And unfortunately I'm not in a place to build and fix it.

So back to LinkedIn I go.

Any market updates will be exclusively posted there.

#FuckNostr 🖕


March 9, 2023


Endorsement Lists are the solution to #Nostr Web Of Trust issues.

User 1 endorses User 2, bringing them into the WoT.

Only endorsed users are allowed to bring new users inside the WoT.

Here's the kicker, it's hierarchical.

If a bad actor sneaks into the WoT and brings a bunch of bots, any person above them can knock the whole branch off.

Not sure if this could be added to NIP 51, or if it needs a new NIP.


Peter Thiel has backed the Dope Olympics. No drug testing.

https://m.primal.net/IRxT.png


When sequel?


Taxes pay for services.

The first step to eliminating taxes is finding what services can be offloaded to the free market. Most can. Education, welfare, retirement, health, etc.

Reduce spending = reduced taxes.

Consumption taxes are only 1 method of taxation. A highly administrative and prying one too. There's better methods for what little taxation is still required.


This is how you do it. Small deliberate teams.


It's true. Blazing dev ecosystem here. Excited to try out Damus Android.

I just hope clients can monetize and sustain themselves. 🤞


Everybody Hates Us - Music Video.

🔊 Sound on

 nostr:npub103m96sra82w4agghew9cdxtzs4s8sl7qsjsvw6h653yml0gjrkzqefd3h5 This up your alley? 🤣

https://m.primal.net/IPWc.mp4


Easy. Two wallets, two accounts. Zap publicly, funnel back privately. Rinse, repeat.


The key is a hierarchical ability to revoke your WoT endorsement.

When you revoke a bad actor, you also revoke everyone that bad actor brought into the web too.

The branch gets cut off, then the market re-evaluates the leftover pieces of that branch, to decides who to endorse back into the WoT. Carefully, so their sponsor doesn't cut them off.


Something is wrong with those stats.

2 weeks ago the same days showed like 25% lower and downtrend. Now upend.

Look super close. The data got flat out changed.

https://m.primal.net/IMep.png


Made a little Fuck Trudeau Song on Suno.

Whatchu think  nostr:npub103m96sra82w4agghew9cdxtzs4s8sl7qsjsvw6h653yml0gjrkzqefd3h5?

https://m.primal.net/IOca.mp4


Are you talking a follower/follow backup tool? Any other contact mgmt I have no idea lol

https://follows.nostr.com/


Yup. Exactly. VPN's have effectively already been banned by the internet.


They weren't kidding they trained it off Reddit. 🤣 🤦♂


IRS costs USA $4.7T per year.


Ya. I'm pretty frustrated with it.


Or, do direct Lightning to Fiat exchanges exist in Canada?

I usually went from WoS Lightning, to On-Chain Shakepay, Convert to CAD, Send to bank.

That's 4 steps and tons of fees. Not practical for a business processing regular payments.


Physical. Cool will check Zaprite.

Wallet Of Satoshi is so easy to use. But Bitcoin hesitant merchants won't want to hold BTC after accepting it. So I'm looking for an easy way to get them back to fiat.


 nostr:npub1hcwcj72tlyk7thtyc8nq763vwrq5p2avnyeyrrlwxrzuvdl7j3usj4h9rq do you have any plans to offer fiat settlement? Either directly, or via partner? Actual fiat, not stablecoin.

(I notice you team up with Moonpay but they don't work in Canada.)


What's the easiest Lightning POS that automatically settles into Canadian Dollars? Either end of day, or per transaction.

#AskNostr


haha the ol' email flooder. Keep that email safe or use a proxy bud!

And definitely don't publish the celly. Call flooder is even worse.


Wallet Of Satoshi is still the GOAT imo.


Holy fuck that was an impact. The horse got nipped too though. Wow.


Good that you aren't. As you mention, others will.

Batch muting will occur regardless. It can't be stopped. The key fight against it is being able to see it occurring. To expose + address.

The second we can't see it (private), we're hooped.

I just put a post up, feel free to attack it. This definitely isn't a client-side or Damus issue, so not directed at you. Seems like a protocol-wide issue.


Private Encrypted Mute Lists could be catastrophic to #Nostr.

Muting users is an important function on a P2P level. Batch muting will occur no matter what. It can't be stopped, nor should it.

But the key to keeping batch muting in check is via PUBLIC mute lists. Because if batch muting starts to be abused, at least we can see it occurring, and possibly address it.

The second that mutes go private, we can no longer see it. Huge swaths of users can be shadowbanned, without anyone knowing the extent, and without any ability to address it. Defeating the entire purpose of a censor-resistant protocol.

Mute lists should have remained public. Further, mutes should be extensively monitored for abuse and mass #censorship formations.

If every Bitcoin financial transaction can be publicly auditable, then every Nostr event should be publicly auditable too.

Don't trust. Verify. Remember?

Unfortunately the encrypted mute NIP likely opened Pandora's Box.


That's cult response.

There's nothing wrong with muting. Muting is excellent. P2P muting.

The second you add batch muting and private muting, the game changes entirely. A function can now be weaponized without anyone knowing. Creating a shadowban effect with no way of stopping it.

All mutes should be public. And a mute monitoring service should be paramount to ensure batch muting isn't being weaponized. This can only be done publicly.

If every Bitcoin financial transaction can be public, every Nostr event can be too.


I certainly don't want to tell people who they are allowed to mute.

But if the entire purpose of the protocol is to resist censorship, and muting (a method of censorship) is opaque, then it's impossible to even know if abuse is occurring.

If mutes are public (as they should be), then at least if batch muting gets weaponized it can be exposed.

Without transparency, you get a shadowban, of an unknown extent. The exact same thing the protocol was created to deter.


Could a user not take a public "bad actor" list, and mute it privately?

Leaving no way for outsiders to audit the extent that batch muting is occurring, on a protocol-wide basis?


Are you serious? You don't see the problem with hiding mute lists on an "open" and "censor-resistant" protocol?

Hiding mutes is literally opening the door to shadow-banning. At a user level OR a client level.

A bad actor list forms, everyone adds it to their private mutes, weaponizing the function and shadowbanning a swath of users.

Encrypting mutes is terrible function, bordering catastrophic to the purpose of the entire protocol.

I would much rather see an aggregation service that publicly shows how many people have muted each user. To verify batch muting isn't occurring. This is really bad stuff.


What is an encrypted mute list and what is its use case?


But the architecture is still filtering notifications App-Side, no?

If so, that's the wrong architecture.

Filter them relay-side so no app-side discarding/suppressing needs to occur.


 nostr:npub1fjqqy4a93z5zsjwsfxqhc2764kvykfdyttvldkkkdera8dr78vhsmmleku Where are these clients typically filtering feeds?

Relay-side? Do they run a caching intermediary? Or fully app-side like  nostr:npub1m4ny6hjqzepn4rxknuq94c2gpqzr29ufkkw7ttcxyak7v43n6vvsajc2jl is alluding to?


Interesting. An app-side filter. That kinda makes sense architecturally actually. Skips requiring a server. What client?


Hmmm, not happening to me on Primal or Amethyst. Takes a minute to propagate a mute. But no problems here on that front.

The latter. Questionable.


Elaborate?

In your feed, they're still showing you people you've muted.

Or, by you or I muting someone, clients are suppressing that person in everyone else's feed?


Is NostrBand fudging stats?

Screenshot 2 weeks ago shows declining trend, in the range of 10-12k DAU's.

Now, the exact same dates show 12-14k DAU, showing an uptrend.

Note Apr 8 specifically. The same date magically changed from 10k to 13k+. Are rewriting history here to #grownostr? Something is fishy.

https://m.primal.net/IMep.png


Yup. There's a lot of bullishness out there right now saying we're out of the woods. I've been arguing we aren't.


Friendly reminder: The Yield Curve is STILL inverted, 2yrs later.

That's deeper and longer than any inversion in the last 40yrs.

Recessions come after yield curve inversions. And we still haven't had ours yet.

https://m.primal.net/IMIz.png


No chance. Too many CRM's as it is. Nostr has no value add. This is buzzword chasing and reinventing the wheel.


Entitlement seems only be for critical notifications (emergency alerts, alarms, overriding ringer silencers, etc).

Are you triggering the notify service directly from Damus Relay? If so I would work on "filtering" the notifies Relay-side.

In the same way that you would filter Relay-side that Bob only gets notifies on events for Bob's posts (and not Sally's).... A similar Relay-side filter should be able to filter out events from muted parties too.

Then use Apple Notify service under "Active" level, without need for entitlement.

https://m.primal.net/IMBJ.png


Sound like Apple. What are they preventing?


Censorship surging on Tittler.

https://m.primal.net/ILxj.png


Everyone talks about censorship. But no one talks about what DRIVES censorship. To me, it's driven by 3 main behaviors:

-HYPERSENSITIVITY: This offends me.

-GROUPTHINK: I can see how this is offensive to you, therefore it offends me too.

-COERCION: Since this offends us, we should "protect" others from the same discomfort we feel, by censoring offensive stuff.

We can build all the censor-resistant mechanisms in the world. But so long as sensitivity and groupthink pervade, weak people will strive to coerce strong ones.

We need to normalize:

-Feeling uncomfortable
-Thinking outside the Overton Window
-Challenging beliefs
-Being different (truly different)

Until we do, the urge to censor will seep out no matter what medium or tangible tools we build to prevent it.


Yup  nostr:npub1a2uzwplzy8uw79rrna6lr0mgxdmx3nfl0xrhcy7se7m24awk5ujqw032qc is right.

Demand for BTC comes from 2 things: 1) Inflation resistance 2) Censorship resistance.

Stop inflating via currency debasement and you remove 1 demand prong for BTC. Of course that's not just 1 country, that's all countries. Will never happen with idiot lying politicians in charge.

And if/once BTC reaches critical mass, something we're approaching, it becomes much harder to put the rabbit back in the hat.


SimpleX is great.


Govs stop printing money.


Hail Hydra. 🐍


A UX idea for you  nostr:npub1jlrs53pkdfjnts29kveljul2sm0actt6n8dxrrzqcersttvcuv3qdjynqn. Most important stuff first, minimal clicking, minimal hidden behind menus, no calendar selectors.

Advanced selections hidden. No double redundant logic confusion issues. Sequential logic. Add conflict notes and tool tips as needed.

https://m.primal.net/IKNB.mp4


Ok apologies. An Algorithm Marketplace is excellent.

I'm probably confused by the Beta stature of it now. Tuning it is super confusing.

People, topics, relays.
Then follows, followers, network.
Then mentions, kinds, relays.

I'm confused what is being tuned here. I can maybe simplify the language if you explain it more. There seems like lots of duplication within it.


It's a self-serve feed. Build an algo.

Nostr doesn't need more self-serve garbage. Going from a legacy social feed to a Nostr feed is like going from an 8k HD LED TV to a Black and White TV sound.

Users don't want to do work. They want an algo do to the work for them.


lol Engineer led development fails almost every time.


This is what happens in engineer led teams.

Product experts need to direct product. Not engineers, not designers.


What do you guys know about this "Polkadot Parachain"?

Decentralized Social Networking Protocol (DSNP)?
Project Liberty?

Are there any working examples of DSNP or Polkadot? How do they differ from #Nostr?

#AskNostr
#Decentralization
#CensorshipResistance

https://m.primal.net/IKDU.png


Can you elaborate? I don't know Polkadot enough yet.


There will always be another trade  nostr:npub120jgpm9gl7lzwtjeklr7rg9nkty4g7whhgq0u8qz2n5s0fkrca0qlh5qug.

Rushing, regretting, and fomoing only get us into trouble. There will be a Bitcoin price lower than today at some time in the future.

Never panic.


Bitcoin showing life. Will it finally exit this decision zone since March?

An upside break looks more likely.

But bull counts don't deploy UNTIL an ATH break. Not before. Since these can still be fakeout moves.

https://m.primal.net/IJDU.png


Bingo. There's a perverse FOSS obsession that's hurting Nostr. Profit motive works. Bitcoin miners make money, why the hell wouldn't Nostr Relays?

Either directly as a percent of ad revenue.

Or by tokenization.

Subscriptions don't work on social networks though. So it can't be pay-per-use.

But relays are the key to the whole thing. Setting up a relay should be as easy as installing an EXE and taking 20 seconds of setup time.


A good social network needs:

-Feed curation (think TikTok)
-Push Notifications
-Creator rewards (think YT)
-Relay rewards

-Stable monetization (subscriptions and donations don't work, ads do.)

Build around this and put users in control. Even reward users for viewing ads. Let them control how much ad injection they want, with paid opt-out. Split revenue with creators to attract new creators and their tribes.

Split revenue with relays. Without relays, Nostr collapses. The client gets the traffic so it falls on them to steer the ship.


You're new here.

https://m.primal.net/IAvR.png


Look at the date. It was fucking bulls-eye.🎯


You don't even know what you're looking at do you? 🤣


That's true. But there's a lot who think it's the second coming too. Especially in the Nostr echo chamber.

Not all tops are euphoric blowoffs either.

Regardless, we break above $74k I'll ride it bull side without any qualms. Not until then though.


This is true. Which is concerning. When everyone believes something, including an indicator, market does the opposite.

Same happens for EW.

The more people hate it, the better it works.

It's when Elliott Wave starts trending that I get nervous because a groupthink could be occurring.


That's quite the Wendys.

Sometimes in markets, we don't know. That is demonstrated on the chart. Let me spell it out: When we don't know, we don't go.

We wait until a clear setup forms in either direction.

Above $74k I'm bullish to the range of $150k.
Below $47k I'm bearish to $12-15k.

It's. Pretty. Fucking. Simple.


The one thing I love about Nostr, no edits, no deletes.

https://m.primal.net/HfVQ.png


Never once did I say $10k any day now. You can knock that lying shit off right now.

Look in the big blue box. Decision zone. Anything that happens within it is just that: Market deciding it's direction.

Until it breaks above or below that box it's nothing but noise.

Have we broke above that box? No. So no call has been made.

https://m.primal.net/IBmW.png


Halving doesn't matter.


Am I now?

https://m.primal.net/ICpu.png


Depends. It has potential 5 wave completion since Nov 2022, which would mean 5 wave completion since 2019 low.

All macro charts have some ugliness to them right now. SPX included. To what depth and when is TBD. Sit and wait mode for now.


Not predicting. It's coin toss right now. Below $47k yes. Above $74k no. Anything between is just noise.

Either way 80% crash is coming. Just dunno yet if it's from the $74k high. Or after a run to $150k.


Good sign


Yikes. Sad part is how many shmucks believe it. ☹


VPN's have basically already been banned.

Any site you'd want to use one on is inaccessible via VPN. Not to mention the brutal speeds. I don't even bother any more.

https://m.primal.net/IHqq.png


Agree very much. The nuts and bolts are here. And even though some iffy "layers" exist on top, they can flake away and new ones can build properly on top.

The basics are there though. Chances are still good I think.


That'd add a lot of weight though.


Peak delusion. Macro blowoff IMO.

All charts are negative the next 6mth to 2yrs (Stocks, Metals, crypto is confirming).

This looks like macro's last breath. Don't fall for the FOMO.

https://m.primal.net/IGgN.png


interesting on CGNAT, thanks.


Who doesn't have 50mbs upload? Aren't all non VPN IP's public?

Uptime can be casual, that's the point of decentralization. One fails, the others pick its slack up. Even though high uptime is easy on an idle machine...

Setting up a relay should be as easy as setting up a client.

https://m.primal.net/IGZW.png


Why not?


I would like to see a plug n play relay setup. Dummy proof.

I download EXE. Install it on my comp. Tweak a couple settings. And I'm now a relay.

No tech, no coding, no cloud services.


Could be anyone. Energize the cable though and no one does it again lol ⚡⚡👷⚠


Thieves stealing Tesla Charger cables.

Solution? Energize cable to 300kw while unused. Cutting stops.

https://m.primal.net/IGUq.mp4


Nice, able to elaborate? Not able to do much these days due to health, otherwise I'd be waist deep myself.

But can provide feedback and advice.

I just want to see a sustainable client. The FOSS, free, non-monetized ones can't survive. Some profit motive is important.


Windsor houses have already dropped 35% peak to trough. Next wave down is on deck.

That stress is coming Tiffy, don't you worry.

https://m.primal.net/IGJJ.png


Yes. But with this, clients need to make money. Subscriptions and donations are not a viable business model.

The only one that works is ads.

But a client that is not greedy with ad insertions, and shares that ad revenue with creators AND RELAYS, will both grow their bottom line and Nostr's userbase too. So so so important.


Thank god people are finally making sense on here. I thought I was in a parallel universe when boneheads were literally hating on algos.

We want algos. Good algos.


Milgram's Subjects IRL


That's cool what is that?


Can the sender revoke it before the recipient has a chance to claim? As in, in an offline transaction. This is very interesting


Wait, successful send without internet? Via QR/NFC?


Capital G was my fav from them. Way back when.


I actually think Nostr has the easiest onboarding even. When explained simply:

1) Download Primal
2) Generate NSEC (don't lose, don't share).
3) Start posting.

Onboard in under 20sec just like it should be.

The confusion I get from others lies in the Nostr's structure. The "well how does it work if it's decentralized" or "what are clients, relays, protocols, zaps, events, etc".

I just skip explaining all that at the start so they can just use it first. Let them fill in the blanks later via exploration.


The OG "I can't breathe!"


Antarctica


That's actually wild.


Thanks bud.

How did it get nuked? Fiatjaf posted a follower backup tool, I need to find the link.


Yup. As an ex semi-pro track athlete, creatine is the most effective supplement that isn't banned. Moderation, like anything.


Massive. Thank you. Bookmarked and followed.


That's client side though.

A good client aggregates then displays content. From what I can tell, Primal certainly does this and caches on their own.

It's then up to the client's algo to parse through that giant mess of events to generate a feed for each user.

Step 1 and 2 are already done. Instead of doing the final step 3, they go build donkey shit. lol


Nostr will explode when a client offers proper UX.

Nostr is just the server.

Right now, content distribution is utter shit. No algo. No notifications. No client cash flow.

It's a client-side issue, not a protocol issue. Whatever client solves this will both win, and #grownostr as a result.


Yes, you allow the user to tune it.

But the market will fix bad algos too. Building an algo is 1 thing. Hard, but not insane.

Rebuilding an entire platform and server-side structure = harder.

So if an algo goes ban heavy, it's easier on Nostr to upstart a new one. Since the server-side hosting on Nostr is unaffected by a rogue algo. Only the distribution is.


Ya if Cloudflare gets attacked there's plenty of decentralization to pick up the slack. Great work man.


Agree very much with all of that. We need an algo. Without one, it's like going to a restaurant where they make you grill your own steak. I suspect these "self-service" pains are causing users to exhaust out.


Awesome thank you!


Bankrupt FTX assets now exceed what they owe clients. By billions.

All while SBF is in jail for fraud.

The entire premise of fraud is that a "victim" loses money. If the "victim" gets back more than they're owed, are they even still a victim? Is it still fraud? 🤔

Never seen anything like it. Only in crypto.

#Bitcoin #crypto #blockchain


🤣 🤣 👏 👏 Was too tempting


Hey that's sweet.


Because subscription isn't a viable online business model.

Will devs understand this before or after going broke?


You better not disappoint then. 🤣

Ya that's probably why I'm getting grouchy with Nostr. Too much GM, memes, and Instragram BS, not enough charts, numbers, and hardware tech.


#AskNostr What's the name of the follower/following backup tool(s), in case our lists get nuked?


I'll never understand the Gold VS Bitcoin feud. 🤣

https://m.primal.net/HugS.jpg


Heard of this happening a few times. Either following, or followER.

Does a backup tool exist yet?


I'm ESL. First language = charts.

🤣 📉 📈 📈 📉 💹


Ya that's the green scenario, which looks more unlikely by the day.

These guidance lines haven't been moved since Mid-March btw. Price is following like a tee. We'll know more in a month.

https://m.primal.net/IFjj.png


Nostr needs an algo. Bad.

Self-serve content does not work on a social app. Whichever client builds a good curation feed will win.


Bitcoin can have non-monetary based inflation. That is, if something else goes up in price faster than BTC, then it "inflated" in terms of BTC. Cost pull, demand push. Econ textbook stuff.

But it can't inflate from currency debasement. Because BTC can't be printed. It has fixed supply.

If you have $10 and 10 apples, each apple is worth $1.
If you have $50 and 10 apples, each apple is worth $50.

The latter can't happen because of BTC's fixed supply.


Followed bud.


Hey bud. You kinda answered your own question.

Sound money people hate the Fed because it prints money, debasing the currency. That's why they buy sound money (Gold, Bitcoin, etc).

Bitcoin can't be printed. So it can't be debased or devalued.

So the 2 compete against each other: Sound Money VS Fiat.

The easiest way to kill Bitcoin would be for every CB to stop printing immediately. Bitcoin's use case would effectively disappear (as long as it hadn't hit critical mass yet).


Free speech app. Muting defeats the whole purpose.

Tried zapping, there's an issue with your Alby. Ping me if you get it sorted out and I'll try again. 😊


Thanks bud. Followed back


Much validity to that outlook. Too much change too fast. Cooling off period.


How do you set up your own server? It still uses ISP so how would it change the mechanics and what would be the real benefit?


https://m.primal.net/IFgn.png
People still think Canadian house prices can't fall by 30%.

THEY. ALREADY. HAVE!

Here are some other dramatic drops across Canada from the 2022 peak to the lowest trough.

-28% Brantford
-28% Chilliwack
-28% Guelph
-32% Fraser Valley
-30% London
-38% Muskoka
-32% Owen Sound
-43% Powell River (choppy)
-28% Waterloo
-32% Woodstock
-35% Windsor

Note: Some markets are in a feeble recovery bounce, not sitting exactly on the lows like the Barrie chart.

If you read Canadian news or asked an idiot politician, they'd tell you Canadian House Prices are soaring.

But they aren't. It's a bubble.

And in every bubble. People. Lose. Their. Minds. Look up the phases of a bubble. That red chart you've seen 100 times. The first phase down off the highs? Denial.

Denial doesn't get any more textbook than this. There are literally people who think this chart is fake. Maximum bubble mentality.

Canadian house prices have much further to fall. Many will exceed 50%+ off the highs. They'll take the banking and credit union system with it. 🏠 🏦 💰 🔥 📉


SimpleX FTW


Subjective.


SimpleX is absolutely awesome. Easy to use, private. 👏

I wish mobile and desktop instances could run simultaneously. Limitation of the architecture I think. Great work SimpleX.


Wait, that got marked intolerant? On Nostr? How?


Ya finding niche is tough for me too. I'm good with dev posts, love being around people smarter than me.

Builders, makers, problem solvers, critical thinkers, traders. Those are my people.

The vomitous Bitcoin worship, GM/GN, and Instagram BS is annoying. It's a free speech platform. Exercise it. Push the boundaries. Not seeing enough of that. Maybe I'm using it wrong.


Nailed it man. I honestly don't understand why people delete any network. It's good to have backups in this day and age.

But I agree, eventually Nostr should overtake.

It's got some growing pains right now though for sure.


Nailed it. Too accurate.

That gets a super zap and a follow.


The algorithm is the car.
No algorithm is walking.

I'm trying to go 1,000 miles. Give me the car.


Would you self-host locally or on some sort of "not-at-arms-length" VM?

Also, does a plug and play relay or self-hosting service exist? That is, I download an EXE, install it, click a few minor tweaks, and I'm now operating my own Nostr Relay and self-hosting. Under 20sec setup time that a 4yr old can do.

If it doesn't exist, it really needs to.


She worked! Is Mutiny easy? I stick to the ol' faithful centralized WoS. Ease of use trumps the 6 speed manual transmission these days.🤣


SatsMcD left too.

Big problems on Nostr. About time the devs wake the fuck up.

Priority 1: Push notifications
Priority 2: Content feed curation (ALGORITHM)

Notice I didn't mention tour the world and go to conferences even once.


Won't let me zap you. Giving me error with your lightning address or something. Double check. Ping me when fixed.


haha I have no idea that's way over my head. I just use WoS and drop it in the client. I don't use the Primal native stuff or Alby. Too confusing for me


This DELIGHTFUL GOAT address shows on your wallet. Maybe a crossover issues between clients? That looks maybe like a WoS address? https://image.nostr.build/32151709e16473e7da29f5435eecd231d6191cc84e7b21e537c94ebee08d0c0d.jpg


Just tried. Wouldn't send.

Ping me when you get it linked or if you need help. Wallet of Satoshi is the easiest for beginners but I think it got yoinked from USA.


Nah. Followed


NPUB is your address. Ya amethyst is good. I've been using primal mostly for usability, but curation is bad there. Maybe need to be back on amethyst


A definite growing pain. The dev community needs a huge dose of reality.

I see some dumbass ideas and efforts being made while the basics are not first taken care of.

I'd be participating and building, unable currently though.


Tis real


Done, feel free to follow


Bitcoin is potentially putting in a top, for a 2yr run back to $12-15k.

Bout a 70% chance, but not confirmed yet.

I tracked it all the way up from $16k and will track all the way back down. Careful in here.


Cool. Ya I've had an account over a year. Curation is really bad (on consumption side and distribution). Gonna have to start playing around with clients I think.

The Bitcoin worship and normie stuff is annoying. I like to get arms deep in detailed topics. Thanks for jumping in. Followed


Same. Too normie, pop, vomitous for me. But from purely an algo standpoint: excellent.


Ya agree. I have Primal too. The trending is ok, but it requires a swath of sharing.

Love or hate TikTok and its userbase, but it unequivocally has the best algo.

Open app, auto curated feed. I don't even have to follow anyone. The algo does everything for me. And fucking good too. That's how it should be.


Ya rooting is a good term.


I only mute GM/GN posts. It's not the feed side that's broken, it's the distribution. Nostr needs an algo. Badly. Like super badly.

Whatever client adds one will win.


Ya. 2mth DAU's have been declining.

Post and interaction distribution is broken without an algo. Feeds are too "snapchaty", with posts disappearing after like 10min unless they get heavily shared.

Which is stupid IMO. We shouldn't have to rely on reposting for distribution. I rarely if ever boost posts.  I don't expect others to do so for mine at all.

But I do expect some automated distribution. We need a good algo. Badly. Like badly.

https://m.primal.net/IFNr.png


Less feed, more interactions. Possible I don't understand/relate to the audience.

Tried zapping you twice, shows queued on my end. Maybe a channel issue on your end?

Lemme know. Working on my end for everyone else.


250 sats to every comment on this post.

Limit: 1 zap per user.
Cap: 10,000 sats total. May extend.

Nostr seems broken, abandoned, woke, or it's turning into a big account echo chamber. I'm shaking shit up to understand why.


This has some interest. Forgive me if I take all Nostr projects with a pound of salt.

Please define Web Of Trust in your words. How is it calculated or achieved?


And this is why I follow you. 👏


Currency debasement has occurred for thousands of years.


Narrative compression. 👍


Central bank prints money to buy Government bonds, other assets, stocks, or bailout, etc. Simple buddy.


Track record matters. This is my Bitcoin track record from LinkedIn over the past 2yrs.

Every green arrow is a bullish Bitcoin post on LI. Blue and red warn of potential top formation. Audit your follows. There's posers everywhere.

https://m.primal.net/ICpu.png


My track record from LI. Go audit yourself. I called the Nov 2022 bottom within $500. Ignore my words at your own peril.

This is not a call, YET. Confirmation is still completing. But 65% likely that top is in. We'll know in 3-6 weeks.

No inflation crisis. Macro top forming in all markets (stocks, silver, gold, etc).

https://m.primal.net/ICpu.png


Yes. He's only alive as long as the price stays up. If he was a good trader (which he isn't), he'd sell high and wipe those loans. All of this would go away. He won't though. He's got that buy-only megalomaniac itch.

We're going to know in the next 3-6 weeks if BTC has topped at $74k. If it has, the 2yr target price is $12-16k.

This will create much stress for MSTR's $35k ACB. Let's see how the next month and a half go first though.


Rate doesn't matter. When price drops below ACB, you're insolvent.  How far it drop below depicts how aggressively your creditors come after you.


His debt is not close to 0%. It was $2.6B last year, and he added another $800m of convertible notes.

And he's now averaged UP, increasing ACB from $30k to $35k. Cornering a market with leverage ends the same as it always has through history.

There's no conspiracy. Only lunacy.

https://m.primal.net/ICpg.png


Best composed song/video I've seen in a long time.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e5qBrxKiVtA


Unlocked: The Prison Experiment was very interesting on Netflix.


Fuck right off commie. Projection overload. Go back to your padded legacy echo chamber.

Thanks for aggregating like-minded people to follow in the comments though. 👍


In 1970's the Hunt Brothers noted a squeeze opportunity in Physical silver. They saw the COMEX could not deliver the amount of Silver it claimed it had.

So throughout the 1970's Hunt Bro's started buying Silver to corner the market. They started buying with cash. Great.

But then they started buying with leverage. Critical mistake. They used more and more leverage as they drove the price up with their buying.

In 1980, Silver Thursday, Silver price dropped below their margin requirements and they went bust, and Silver collapsed.

✳ The Hunt Brothers were right about the silver shortage. Their only mistake leverage.

✳ Saylor is right about Bitcoin's limited supply. But the leverage he's using to buy it will skewer him eventually. He will not sell BTC to repay his loans, so when price drops significantly below his ACB, he'll be wiped out.

The irony is, fiat is failing due to debt, so people buy Bitcoin.

This fucktard is buying Bitcoin with debt. The exact same debt killing fiat. 🤦♂


He's Hunt Bro's 2.0 and will end exactly the same way.


Bingo! Fuck Saylor. The most dangerous and delusional person around Bitcoin.


Damn, that's toughness. Those tear ducts must be going insane.


MSFT = Most overvalued company on the planet. Absolute shit product.

Literally the number 1 search term on Bing is "Google". lol


It really is. Has a ton of stickiness to it. I've listened on repeat since release and still haven't got sick of it.

-Kill Shit Til I Die
-I ain't in the Country No More
-Jack
-Sold Out

Mockingbird and Crow (song) is prob my favorite though. Builder.

Ya Hardy is flat out awesome.


Checks out. Ecosystem is losing momentum.

I think the underlying Nostr protocol has merit. But client devs are out to lunch. Some need to be purged for sensible development and network effect to occur.


Some country for ya bud. 😉 🤘

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Km3DY77vINU


Not here.


That 🍎 needs a bikini wax.  🤣


NEW LOW $59k: Decision zone still, but it doesn't look good for Bitcoin.

A 5-wave completion off the March highs confirms $74k as the top. It means the 80% Bitcoin correction lasting ~2yrs has begun. Be. Careful.

https://m.primal.net/IBmW.png


Blocking is not the answer.  Endorsing is.

Endorsing is OPT-IN. Blocking is FILTER-OUT.

Blocking catches good people in the filter and creates the same censorship issues as legacy platforms.

Endorsing requires someone on the inside to vet and allow a new person into the trust circle. Like a FB group, Reddit sub, etc. Endorsing is the key to solving spam.


Human behavior is what TA charts. I mean, great if you have a process. But TA work specifically because people don't believe in it.


Then you didn't learn TA. This post from my LinkedIn Nov 2022. I gave bullish guidance 23 times since.

As soon as we hit $70k, I warned of the potential top (including here on Nostr, where a bunch of coders started crying).

I've been tracking that potential top's confirmation status ever since.

So ya, TA works. It works very well.

https://m.primal.net/IAvR.png


Ya they're self-proclaimed maxi's of like 8mths. So many fucking posers on here.

Ohh gee, the gov says I can't own it? What will I do?!?!

Live on your knees and eat the salad.


lol

A) This could be incredibly reckless advice. The charts are going to tell us in 3-6wks.

B) If you're holding Bitcoin, only as long as it's legal, you might wanna rethink your life. What are you going to do, sell it when they ban it? FMR.


 nostr:npub1vxd0dfst8ljvwva2egrpc53ve8ru78v8aaxfpravchkexmfmmu3sqnrs50 I have autocomplete mentions on Primal desktop. But yes. Push is literally everything to a social app.

https://m.primal.net/Hzso.png


All the miners shut'r down after halving? 🤣


Time to sidestep was $74k when I first started warning about it. Confirmation of red scenario (if we get it), won't be until much lower.


The guidance lines on this chart haven't moved since I posted them in Mid-March. Yet look where we are.

The longer BTC fails to overtake ATH, the more likely $74k was the top. A 5-wave move off the highs would confirm the top, we're in W3 (or C) now. Resolution is nearing.

PS: Charts don't care about Bitcoin's halving.

https://m.primal.net/HwQa.png


Good point  nostr:npub18cxqklkp83g2fv9mk7kgkag0lz4s7yacpk8ljm3sfx0agrx6320qruqz89. Decentralization is the limiter of speed. But even Litecoin has 2.5 minute block time. Not any more or less usable than BTC. But it is faster.

To me, usable has to be 4 sec or less. I'm testing and learning Nano now. It's always been of interest to me. Checks all the boxes, fixed supply (all mined up front), instant transactions.

I don't understand its mining/consensus yet. Maybe a dud. We'll see.

I think Bitcoin has a wakeup call. It can remain as "digital gold", slow, store of value. But that means people use something else for daily transactions.

Lightning, or another L1. To me, the usability difference between Lightning vs another good L1 is minimal. Risks, exchange time, costs. In fact Lightning probably fares worse at these.

So if a faster L1 protocol comes out with moderate security, capital will flow there for payments. But it may start accumulating there and avoiding going back to Bitcoin at all if/when that L1 protocol proves itself. Very likely scenario IMO.


Exactly  nostr:npub180x9vv4yuagf2w3qzmuertvv46ccee6n0wp0yh3zcz7nhyqrmzuqzjmehq At the crux, you're arguing more volume, lower fees. To achieve the same income as less volume, higher fees.

Higher throughput. That benefits the network and users. Efficiency.


No you don't need to track UTXO's because UTXO's are stupid. Them and blockchain are the constraint of the whole system.

The distributed ledger is all that matters. You don't need to know "who sent what". You only need to know "who owns what". That's it. The ledger.

The logic is simple: Has key? Has balance? Send approved.


You're constrained to Bitcoin. I'm talking a fresh protocol.


They scale if you don't keep all transaction history back to inception. Anything longer than 30days isn't needed.

Beef the size, shrink the time, scrap the unneeded excess.


Hey that's super cool! 👏


Ya I agree. The overwhelming Bitcoin worship echo chamber ruins it. Need more normal users.

I've fallen off Nostr for the same reason. Legacy social bans will keep trickling users over here though. Elon is marketing Nostr hard lately with his bans.


Broken. Everyone left.


So  nostr:npub1mfndvgwstwm604jvrt07p6nyy898mdsdzzyumx9sdn8u6r4za4uqck6f8v posted "mother" as the 12th word, yet there's not even an "R" in his letter list.

This is disingenuous. I was under the impression his seed phrase was only 3 and 4 letter words, consisting of only the letters copied.

Not the first 3-4 letters of any length words.

This is impossible. He might as well not even have given letters. Total waste of time. I regret even engaging.


This was posted before any clue words were given. I see the words are not only 3 and 4 letter words as the poster originally claimed. So that changes everything.


Push notifications


Scarily accurate.


Explain it for a 6yr old.
Build it for a 3yr old.


See! Knew it! 🤪 🤪


Too microscopic timeframe for my blood. haha GL man


CappyNate🍁

Tech, money, startups, free-markets. Sidelined by undiagnosed neurological issues since 2020.

Re-spawned from here: https://www.linkedin.com/in/nathanlabbe/


The longer BTC goes without breaking ATH, the more likely #Bitcoin has topped.

If BTC has topped, a 77-84% correction is coming over 2yrs. Bitcoiners have no idea the pain that's in store.

Odds: 65 to 35 the top is in. Confirmation levels below.

https://m.primal.net/HrLn.png


Gonna take a lot longer than 45min for any meaningful resolution. Could be months. A lot of Bitcoiners are sleeping to the risk they're taking.

If we've topped, we have a LONG way down to go.

https://m.primal.net/HrLh.png


I would be very cautious. It's only bullish if it breaks ATH.

65 to 35 the top is in. It's still deciding. But the longer it waits to break ATH, the more likely we've topped.


First Damus. Interesting. Thank you.


Thanks man. What client?


Thx. Seeing a trend here....


Thx. What client you on? Trying to narrow down blacklist and mass muting sources.


What client you on? Trying to narrow down client blacklists. Thx man


Thx bud. What client you on? Trying to narrow down client blacklists.


Pretty sure I'm shadow banned from Nostr already. Not sure how yet, been stress testing the protocol.

If you can see this, let me know. Don't boost this post.


It's staggering how many people know about Milgram's Experiment.

Yet still can't spot when it's happening right in front of their eyes in real life.

#JustDoingMyJob
#JustFollowingOrders
#Authoritariansm
#HumanNature
#Obedience

https://m.primal.net/HrDU.png


What shadow ban incident? My feed on Primal feels, scant. I'm worried shadow bans are occurring.


Man if you can sell that shit, you can sell anything 🤣🤣🤣👏👏


Interesting man, enterprise mostly? I build. I can't sell for shit. Hate people too much.

Will keep you in mind on JV if my health ever improves enough to build anything significant. 🤣 Also off, indefinitely.

I know the feeling. Smart to put health high, but as you say, need something to fight.


Honestly the Kumbaya shit on Nostr really pisses me off.

You want soft snowflake shit go to Instascam. We need free speech. Soft snowflake lovely dovey is not threatened on any platform.

Honesty, controversy, outside the box thinking is what's threatened. And that is Nostr's primary potential use case above all else. Sure, everyone is welcome.

But it's the snowflakes that always push the bans. So if that snowflake shit results in "match my mutes" at a client level, and result in the same types of shadow bans as Legacy Social, I wanna know about it soon. Because that's a catastrophic issue.


Rough seas create good sailors.

Tidal wave this protocol. Make sure its worthy.


Hmmmm


USA, you're ok.
Canada, we're fucked. 🙂💥

https://m.primal.net/HqoH.png


Get VC money to start a decentralized protocol! 🤣 🤦🤦🤦♂


You absolutely nailed it, which is why I like this scenario so much. A crash of this depth erases the two most prevalent yardsticks newbies use to measure BTC:

-Halving
-Power law/rainbow chart.

Without these, Bitcoiner's will have few metrics left to analyze the market. Their belief structure will be crushed. This disbelief is what is needed for violent capitulatory reversals.

Markets desire max pain. This achieves that.

For $74k to NOT be the top, BTC needs to break ATH very soon. The longer it stays without breaking, the higher likelihood the top is in at $74k.

Current likelihood about 65% top is in, 35% higher to go still.


Bitcoin all-time count. It's completing a 5 wave move since 2018 which means 84% crash is coming.

We just don't know if that 84% crash starts from $74k, $100k, or $150-180k. The smaller timeframes will tell us in time.

Note, $74k meets the criteria for a top. But is unconfirmed still.

https://m.primal.net/HqkG.png


Jack = 🤡


Apologies this appears from yesterday April 1. Heavy presence on Hwy 1 at Cochrane AB. About 50 cops cycling in preventing people from blocking 1 lane of traffic.


Solid numbers on MB/SK border. April 2, 2024

#TaxRevolt
#CarbonTaxProtest
#FuckTrudeau

https://m.primal.net/Hqhs.mp4


PERMIT: Pay a fee to be allowed to do something.
BRIBE: Pay a fee to be allowed to do something.

Permit = Legalized Bribe.


Devs are very fickle creatures. Very dumb at a lot of stuff. Very smart at others.

Business brains know WHAT to build, not how to build it.
Devs know HOW to build it, but not what to build.

Unfortunately a lot of Nostr devs are overstepping their area of competency. Which is why the protocol isn't booming as fast as it could be.


It's just getting ridiculous at this point man. This tyrant needs to go.


I'm in favor of markets. But as an active market participant, I can tell you that markets are FREQUENTLY "wrong".

If they weren't, there would be no money for us to make.

Herded up humans create incredible profit opportunities.


Nationwide Tax Revolt Canada. Today Apr 1, 2024

Lloydminster, Nova Scotia, Ottawa, Calgary, PEI, St Catherine's, and more.

Credit: Shaun Newman Podcast Twitter

#TaxationIsTheft
#CowardOfTheCottage

https://m.primal.net/HqSD.mp4


The Canvis guy took down the Meshtastic map. I'm trying to get him to post it again. It was extremely helpful to visualize network size.


FTX making bad bets with depositor money is called fraud. ❌

SVB making bad bets with depositor money is called fractional reserve banking. ✅


Haven't used them but it's interesting. I wonder how long they'll last as no-KYC.


Blind worship of anything is a giant no-no.


Government


Who TF you calling nice?! 🤣


Ship lost power 2x. Heavy smoke. Mechanical failure. Too much conspiracy shit these days.


Break above $74k = Target $150-200k in 12 months.
Break below $47k = Target $12k and misery up to 2 yrs.

Everything in between is basically noise.

Basically coin toss, but I favor red scenario 60 to 40.

https://m.primal.net/HoOo.png


MSTR is a trading instrument only. High premium/discount due to no creation/redemption mechanism.

There's a moderate likelihood that Saylor and MSTR go $0 in the next large downturn. He has no self-control.


Check gas cap first.


Nice of the EU to finally endorse self custody.

EU also prob thinks it has the capability to ban non-verbal thoughts too. 🤣🤡


Nice of the EU to offer their endorsement! 👏


Who controls NIP repository and how?


The best trust protection is manual "vetting".

Let Sally endorse Bob as an authentic human. But only once Sally has first been endorsed trustworthy herself. Creating an opt-in circle of trust.

If a bot slips through the cracks, Sally can remove her endorsement of Bob. Which removes ALL endorsements that Bob made too, all the way down the line. Blasting bot-nets out of the sky.

Only endorse people you trust, and people you trust to make trustworthy endorsements as well.


Yup, amen. Humans are fucked up creatures.


Hell no. Engrain notes in stone.

I don't want all the little hucksters who come around every market cycle going around deleting receipts. Reputation matters.

You wanna say something you own it.

You can't take it back IRL, you shouldn't get to undo it online. Transparency. Reality. Truth.


Study's find.....


They're already working on a sequel.


What's their Nostr handle? Want to add them.


Engagement pods. Some guys are working on blasting these fuckers out of the sky. Stay tuned. Going to be fun.


It's called an algo. That thing everyone on here hates. 🤦🤣


But how else they gonna build that echo chamber?! 🤣📢♻


Let's make this interesting:

One word is "QUIT"
Another is either "JUMP" or "JOIN"

If it's "JUMP" then the remaining 10 seeds can only be from the following 50 options:

age
cage
can
case
cash
chef
coin
echo
egg
face
fan
fee
fine
fish
fog
gain
gap
gas
gasp
hen
high
hip
hope
ice
icon
inch
nice
nose
off
once
one
open
page
pass
pen
pig
pipe
safe
scan
sea
ship
shoe
shop
sign
sing
snap
soap
song
soon
spin

If word 2 is "JOIN" then the remaining 10 options can be the above 50 words, PLUS the below 31:

aim
camp
come
cup
fame
foam
fun
game
gun
home
huge
join
jump
main
man
mass
mean
menu
mesh
miss
moon
much
name
poem
push
same
soup
such
sun
upon
use

Therefore JUMP makes our life much easier (50 options vs 81) I'm only working manually. I don't have a reliable cycler.

But unless my math is wrong. Your 12 words are in the 81 options I've listed above.


I know 1 word, and a 50% chance of the second word. Bringing total words (not combinations), but word options remaining down to 50 or 82. That's still MANY combinations.

If the 2nd word (not in proper order) is "jump" then there's 50 remaining words. If it's "join" then there's 82 remaining words.


Or, if you prefer. You could hint if any of the 3 letter words contain an "F".

Btw this challenge might have broken Bitcoin. I'm not entirely lying either.


Is it "jump" or "join"? 😉

"Jump" makes life a LOT easier. Narrowing potential words from 82 to 50.


OH! It is 10 4's and 2 3's? My short list just got WAYYYY shorter to 139 words.


It's still a fuckload of combinations though. 🤣 That's why I think using the "key" of characters is the way to really narrow it down into a bite sized piece.

https://m.primal.net/Hlhy.png


Sorry, asking it to fit together the following logic tree:

Words from 325 word list
-THAT-
Use each letter from the 46 character string only once
-AND-
Equal exactly 12 words.

That should narrow it down greatly. Not the order, but some fitting combos at least. But I can't get it to iterate with scripts and can't find online tools to do it.


If you think you're too small to make an impact, try sleeping in a room with a mosquito.


 nostr:npub1hagdek2wtr80gaajphv6t9nd7zhuh3d0verrg6ew02yzkajytypqc3c8kx I tried GPT to start also. First asked it to count the number of letters, it gave me this. Abandoned that strategy very quickly. 🤣 🤣 🤣

I have it narrowed down to 325 words. Having trouble spitting out combos that add to 46 from there.

https://m.primal.net/Hlel.png


He doesn't need your $60 anymore he just found $3,500. 🤣🤣


You've captivated me with this. I spent a bunch of time learning how much I don't know about math and ciphers.

I solved a few anagrams from your string.

I did guess some random wallet's seed phrase as a result (I think). But not yours. About 98% sure the word "quit" is in your phrase though.

This has been enlightening.


Ballsy AF. 🙇♂


2-Step Authentication always feels like 83746-Step Authentication.


Always always always. 😍 💯


Notify updates are improving  nostr:npub16c0nh3dnadzqpm76uctf5hqhe2lny344zsmpm6feee9p5rdxaa9q586nvr. Not perfect yet, but a noticeable reliability improvement. Well done.

Primal is always my number 1 recommend to new Nostriches. Easiest to use by far. And multi-platform support. 🎯 🎯


 nostr:npub1q46m7q7zv8qe2zqffhhjnj558fdtzjxy7akr0x9ytwa3zc4zhpus0m8rmu Didn't do mine and keeps halving down. I get it, he got way overzealous with his amount.

So add a limit in the initial post in case the post gets traction. "First 100 only" or so on. He still dolled out a LOT of zaps which I totally respect.

But it's still a bait and switch by definition. Over promise upfront, the post continues growing for free after, and you reap the free exposure.


I fell for it too lol.


Only on boat accident reports.


No risk. It's follower farming. Totally legit when you fulfill your word.

I've seen 2 now that haven't. And I automatically don't trust them as a result.


It's fine. But some of these guys are either:

-Not zapping.
-Not zapping in the amount they promised.
-Being vague about how much they'll zap.

They're follower-farming. It's fine when done legitimately. I've done it and may do it again. But just be honest.

Promise only what you can afford to deliver on.


I see the "bait and switch" clan is out in full swing with the "comment/repost for sats" posts.

Remember, Nostr posts are forever. You can't erase your deceptions  like on legacy social media. Honesty prevails much faster here.


He kinda did, kinda didn't. Bait and switch with this "halving" stuff. Missed some comments.

Moral of the story here is don't make promises you can't keep.


Starship 3 Reentry this morning. Wild shots.

https://m.primal.net/Hkwm.mp4


Decent! Some really receptive posts, some not so much. Depends on timing and how crappy I am at explaining.

I dragged a few over here to Nostr though, that's for sure.


Kudos. Many thanks  nostr:npub16c0nh3dnadzqpm76uctf5hqhe2lny344zsmpm6feee9p5rdxaa9q586nvr


Isn't that the truth. People can't fathom how exponentially fast the world is going to progress going forward.

The race to compute (NVDIA) makes much more sense now.


Holy crap. AI coder 7x more skilled than GPT-4. Reminds me of scenes from the movie Lucy.

Coders, what you think? Legit or shit? Video 1m50s

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fjHtjT7GO1c&ab_channel=Cognition


Amazing man, had no idea he joined. This is awesome.


I was just gonna say the same thing. Found him here. Verified npub off his elonjet site. Amazing!

https://primal.net/p/npub1fdgwa53syrvvmn9d3mtpemc0fd33uu5thrjqprgjzshnxq84y7zsflrygf


Bro. Amazing you and ElonJet are on Nostr. Love it!


Never mind. I'm a complete fucking retard. Found it. 🤦🤣


Where are you getting that Primal data? iOS app? I can't find it on Web or Android.


My absolute favorite. It has been missing more notifications lately. Can you add to the bug-list please? Keep up the awesome work.


Andy Kirby is an absolute genius.


Decentralised initiatives don't put enough stock into hardware. We need a good decentralized ISP.

Helium isn't it. Meshtastic is promising for chats, but not full browsing.

This is the final key in the puzzle.


Tip to the new Nostriches. Link your legacy socials in your bio or a new post, so we can get to know you.

Imposters do happen here like anywhere. So posting your npub on your legacy accounts as well gives a good 2-way method of vetting you are who you say you are. And it helps #GrowNostr

#introductions
#welcome
#GFY


The math ain't mathing here.

https://m.primal.net/HkTU.png


Someone tell Saylor it already is a currency plz. 🤣


Respect for NVIDIA just went way up.

"I wish you all great pain and suffering." Length: 1m40s

https://m.primal.net/HkLa.mp4


I didn't know Hillary was representing Boeing now. Interesting.


This convo highlights structural issues with Nostr.

Paying subscriptions for relays will never work. Subscription for social monetization does not work en masse. Same for clients. Ad-revenue does. Stick to what works and flow the ad-revenue from clients to relays.

Removing "spam and illegal content" defeats the entire point of Nostr. If gov bans free speech, and Nostr enforces it, then Nostr is rendered useless.

Nostr (or any decentralized network) needs a way of obscuring and anonymizing relays. So they can host whatever they want without gov sniffing them out. Illegal or not. Filters can apply at the client level. But remember, any filter risks censorship. Even good ones.


Build a decentralized emoji set. That anyone can add and build onto. Bitcoin for emoji's.


Nice work. FYI the biggest bug I notice on Primal is "update reliability".

Primal misses some event notifications (likes, comments, follows, follow counts) that other clients like Amethyst or Snort picks up.

But Primal is the fastest and most usable client by far. Tradeoff, I know. But something to work on.


Elon's just the shit💩 calling the fart💨 stinky.

https://m.primal.net/HjwM.png


Yes and discouraged workers. IE. Unemployed people, who haven't looked for a job in 4 weeks.

"We don't need to include those people in UR. Naaa."

Just like how they conveniently omit asset prices from CPI to pad the stat.


They LITERALLY put "employment rate" in the same chart.

Yet people will still quote the gov stated unemployment rate of 4.5%. Knowing full well that the sum of both are 30% from adding up to 100%.

Even with headmath, you have to look at that and go. WTF man?

Milgram's experiment in the flesh.


It boggles my mind that people can look at the "unemployment rate" and go "Ahh yes, that's a legitimate statistic✅ ".

See below. If 63.4% are employed. Then by grade 2 math, 36.6% are not employed, or UNemployed. No matter what the gov says.

https://m.primal.net/Hjuz.png


Hahaha I told you that cat was a killer posing as a teddy bear!! 🤣🤣🤣


This is hugely needed. A FOSS Windows too. One that actually works (not like ReactOS).


Ya Primal rocks. It doesn't have the most reliable updates (misses some events likes, comments in the notifications). But it's definitely the fastest and most usable.


Ya these university empires are not it. Spend more money on fancy buildings than program efficiency.

Similar thoughts to yours. A type of collaborative platform. Open sources ish. But contributors compensated. Like 80% of the info is already out there. It's just a matter of packaging it into a program with a bow on it.

But there's also tricky concepts to the user.

So as the user navigates through the program, they could vote on how easy each concept is. If it's hard, contributors could see this frustration in their portal, and brainstorm ways to explain it simpler. Then go back and paste in that simplification (either text, video, graphic; media agnostic).

The easiest to understand explanation shows to the user as the primary, so the path of least resistance to enlightenment occurs. And the contributor gets compensated for viewership. Rewarding good simple explanations.

Also, attacking learning painpoints like this en-masse reduces the dependance on expensive 1-on-1 tutoring. It provides the path of least resistance to knowledge. User experience, applied to education.


Yup you're right. Can add others after. One step at a time. Also some other programs are offered online (EdX, Coursera, Udemy), but Med is not. Focus first on building what doesn't exist.

The programs that are offered online are via traditional legacy universities (even on these platforms). So their costs are astronomical vs an automated on-demand program.

IE: A comp-sci degree should cost $500 to $1000, not $20,000. The whole degree, not just courses.


Online med school program. Med theory only.

Digital, borderless, unlimited capacity, no age limits, no pre-requisites, low-fee to no-fee.

I would incentivize current doctors to compile existing online materials from Wikipedia, Journals, even YouTube into a standardized program. Then create their own content for any materials not covered well.

The goal is for anyone to access, anyone to afford, and anyone to work through at their own pace.

Once a student completes the program, they can move on to practicum elsewhere. But the theory-only knocks a solid 1/4 to 1/3 off the total program time/cost. Allowing these practicums to operate with greater capacity.


Red or yellow?


Mind the sea-turtles.


Finally someone understands me. 🤣


And WEXIT 🙂


Breakaway states and startup nations are going to be huge the next 10-20yrs.


That's a good point regarding the mechanics. Increases moving parts exponentially.


I'm purple pilling on LinkedIn right now. 🟣 🟣 💜


DST is the good one. STANDARD time is the shitcoin.

Year round DST please.


haha that's hilarious it's overtaken USD but not the Peso.


"Elon is saving free speech" is the Nostr equivalent of "The USD will never fail".


We're still doing 12mth calendar. ☹

#13MonthCalendarFTW


💯💯 Nostr should be self hosted IMO. Largely at least.


💯💯 Green is bitter. Nice color for certain meals though if you cook it up.


It's tough building from scratch.

But every time I start getting rowdy on other platforms I quickly run back to Nostr to reconnect. Just in case the ban hammer strikes. 🤣 🤣


Miss mine. 1,000km+ per tank. Talk about covering ground and eating the miles. Bladder always had trouble outlasting it.


Wikipedia needs to start packaging their info into education "programs". (med, engineering, etc)

All the info is there. It's just a matter of packaging it all into specific programs by linking and jump-linking the important parts.


Yes exactly. It's like having a telephone without a ringer.


Agree completely. And the big names use them. Damus, Wine, Primal. All Cloudflare. I was surprised the distribution on the bottom end though. Quite good.


Agree. I was scanning nostr.watch to sniff through host distribution. Noticed quite a bit of centralization so wanted to see the whole picture. Ya. There's pretty good distribution on the bottom end aside from a few big names.


Data: relays.xport.top/
Follow:  nostr:npub1kyhz3xg746qg6syzpp6r7wpdnxmh03gcsu5xccqzyk94hmvanj9sh00v85

Not my data! I just visualized it. Thought it'd be helpful to see the distribution of relay hosts. To see how host outages or censorship would affect Nostr. Hope that's ok Xport.top! 🙏

https://m.primal.net/HjLw.png


I give 2 shits if someone is scamming people and covering their tracks. I give big shits bud. I'll blast these fuckers out of the sky.


It's a fuck of a lot better than these tards who block/mute the second you raise any objection. Crypto is littered with those cowardly shits. Instant scammer red flag.


Unsolicited transparency is a huge green flag. ✅ ✅


The only risk is if large incumbents build in push notify first. They seem totally uninterested though.

My words were bad above. This L2 push app triggers a push banner to the user. When user clicks push banner, it opens the event in the user's selected default client (Primal, Damus, Amethyst, etc). Comments, likes, etc. Interactions.

Because all current notifications are currently in-app. 👎 👎

You don't actually build a feed or any other components of a client. Push service only.

Only aggregate events from relays, and trigger the push to user when they happen. Existing clients handle all activity after the push banner click.

Firebase is awesome for this if you're familiar. (I'm not a coder, PM/vision/founder/problem finder guy)


Push notifications. The incumbent client-builders are living in a fantasy world.

Build a push notification only app. Not a client. Like a Push Layer 2. Only does push.

Allow user to select their default client, to open your L2 pushes with. That way push works for every client, but you will get the highest user counts. Because, push = growth. Transition to lite client after if you wish.

I've been thinking on this for months. No health, resources, or energy to do it. It will not only blow up Nostr, it will blow the other clients out of the water.


This is sick. They make kits for this? Amazing. Thanks for sharing.


Whoa so sorry to hear this. That's gotta be scary all around. Glad you're relatively ok.

I've been battling neuro symptoms for 4yrs. Tremor, weakness, vision stuff. The lack of independence and "full able capacity" is really frustrating.

Having to hyper-plan little things, limit other things. Helpless and held back. I can relate on that level.


Needs a taxation is theft shirt


I don't trust this kid. Why is Strike's execution plan so all over the map?

Jack is the first person I ever saw use Lightning years ago. Yet the app is only available in like 1/3 of countries worldwide. No Canada, virtually no Europe. Big ones. Meanwhile many other Lightning wallets are available in 90% of countries. How is he so far behind? Launch first. Ask permission later.

And then, how can someone so bullish on Bitcoin be so focused sending fiat. Not just onramps, but actually sending fiat via lightning? It's like a vegan butcher. I just don't get it.

Add in the hyper marketing focus, it feels very shitcoin puffy hypey. Talk talk talk. Maybe I'm 100% wrong. Maybe it's because I can't even download the app here in Canada to explore barebone functionality. But something just hasn't smelled right about this kid or Strike for a while.


They sleep like the cutest little furball. Then a squirrel runs by the window: Turns into a stone cold killer. 🤣


HONNKKKKKK 🇨🇦🇨🇦🇨🇦


HONNNNK HONNNKKK 🍁 🚜 🚚
Convoy 2024
Rimouski Quebec March 8 2024

We got numbers.

#FuckTrudeau 🖕

https://m.primal.net/Hiuh.mp4


Commenting for reach bud. If that even works on Nostr lol


More Quebec Farmers. LFG!!

https://m.primal.net/HitQ.mp4


Posted 1hr ago on Twitter. Can't confirm. Please be real. Please be real.

#FuckTrudeau 🖕

Honk Honk mother fucker.

https://m.primal.net/HitP.mp4


In this era of complete propaganda, lies, and scammers; engraining post history in stone is awesome.

It becomes impossible to claim "I didn't say that", or scrub history, or scrub accounts. It's much harder to manipulate for nefarious reasons. More truthful.


Absolute scumbags. I love how much traction Louis Rossmann has got, taking them out at the knees.


I should note. This was back in 2018. I have no idea what Apple has changed since. I stay as far away from them as possible. If they've changed this. Please feel free to update.


Wanna know how bad Apple is? We built a location based app on iOS.

Our GPS location functions were 100% app-side. Meaning when our app needed the user's location for a function, that location was never sent to our servers. On-device code handled that location. We never saw it. Ever.

We also never logged locations anywhere. Not even on user's device. Any GPS positions were deleted the second the function finished using it.

What does Apple do? They start showing our users the screen below.

A screen with all logged location pings, like we were spying on users. Except we weren't even logging past location usage. We couldn't produce this logged data if a gun was put to our head. The only way for those pings to have been logged is if APPLE logged them. Either on device, or even worse, on APPLE's servers.

So we build the most responsible location handling we know possible.

And Apple sends our users a scary alarm, smearing us, posing as some safeguard of GPS data. All while APPLE was the one logging this location data, and therefore putting it at risk. Or using it for who knows what else.

We never built another iOS app after that.

https://m.primal.net/HihG.png


Apple is total scum.


Important note: I have no idea what you're building haha My comment is generic in nature.


FWIW I've never had mega-haters on a project I've built. Built many. I've had:

-Disciple-like lovers
-Totally uninterested
-Eager for more

If a project has excessive haters, or total lack of interest; us builders should be asking ourselves: "Are we building an actual solution to a problem? Or are we solving a problem that doesn't exist?"

Agree with builder encouragement. Disagree with enabling bad building.


Dang, no AMD? That sucks. Will try to dig if I can hold attention haha


Can you get specific on the difference in structure between the 2?


True. Some degree of centralization is necessary for functionality. The less the better.


Every seems to be on SOL now. Helium made the switch too. Interesting.

Have you mined Render? Easy to mine? Is the network getting use? Should be during this AI boom/chip shortage.

Distributed computing is fucking overdue. The amount of idle compute power even at a normie level is huge. Especially all these (IMO) useless gaming rigs which do nothing except sedate grown children. lol Let's put 'em to work.


Extremely interesting. I've been looking for a good distributed compute network forever. Render looks actually useful. Will dig. Thanks for sharing.


Will happen. Last 10yrs we had startup companies.

Next 10-20yrs will be breakaway nations and upstart COUNTRIES.


Boomer book. 🤣 🤣


DYK: The START of rate cuts has actually signaled the last 3 major market TOPS.

It isn't until banksters STOP cutting rates, that the market finds its BOTTOM and rebounds.

https://m.primal.net/HiMG.png


Holy crap. That's a dicey situation. Wow.


🤣🤣🤣 Stay as far from MSTR and drunken Saylor as physically possible.


When push notifications?


Ever try their danger dogs? 🤣


ETF's don't just buy Bitcoin, they sell it too. This is due to ETF's creation/redemption mechanism.

Shown below is BTCC's Bitcoin holdings back to its 2021 inception. Note the 50% reduction of holdings in 2022. Simply due to the C/R mechanism.

https://m.primal.net/HiDK.png


Thank you for addressing risk management.

It's not talked about nearly enough in todays era of FOMO degeneracy.


I sounded alarms yesterday. Buncha noobs came shit talking TA.

Whuddya figure? Are the charts still fake? Still astrology? 🤣

https://m.primal.net/Hhzw.jpg


Super helpful, thanks a bunch. So say you wanted to build a Relay connector service. 1 relay, read events only. Do effectively nothing with them, say log in DB or something for future service use.

How much time to build for 1 relay? And then, how automatable for each subsequent relay? Same amt of time per relay, or say half or quarter time for each additional relay?


But the big question: How will clients monetize?

Zap skimming isn't sufficient. Subscription doesn't work. Can't build for free forever....


Price doesn't matter tho. Right. Derrrrrrp. 🤦🤣 ♂


Keep moving those goal posts. Scrolling back a few days you've posted about price 4 times.

Because price matters. And you fucking know it.


So the price of Bitcoin doesn't matter. No value to knowing price. Got it. 🤦♂ 🤣 🤡


In Nov 2022 at $16k, I called the Bitcoin bottom and a run toward $100k. Below are the responses I got on LinkedIn.

We're now pushing $70k and I'm warning of that same approaching medium term top. Wouldn't you know it, I'm getting the EXACT same noob responses. Only this time, from Bitcoin worshippers. 💡 🤔

I'm a Contrarian. The more the group hates the call, the higher likelihood it's right.

https://m.primal.net/Hhkz.png


nostr:npub1utx00neqgqln72j22kej3ux7803c2k986henvvha4thuwfkper4s7r50e8 is cunty. I'm starting to regret zapping you after your crybaby post last November. 🖕 🖕


It's possible nostr:npub16secklpnqey3el04fy2drfftsz5k26zlwdsnz84wtul2luwj8fdsugjdxk The first count pairs up with the SPX better. SPX due for a 20% pullback starting in the next 2-8ish weeks.

I'll update which one looks more probable when the chart shows its hand.


Banner image Oct 11, 2023. You call it what you want cowboy.

https://m.primal.net/Hhke.png


Yup I'm practically EW only. Been using for 10yrs.

I don't sell courses or subscriptions like these other scammers. I just post charts for those who wish to view them.


The "line drawer" called the $16k bottom within $500 in Nov 2022 and tracked it up every step of the way on my LinkedIn.

https://m.primal.net/Hhka.png


Is it now? Posted Nov 2022. My LinkedIn has tracked this move up from $16k every step of the way.

And maybe put in a little effort and check my banner pic. Before spouting this bullshit.

https://m.primal.net/HhkW.png


I repeat: HEED CAUTION AT $75-80K!

nostr:note1xdaz9ruqu7net65sv0ar0z5m9seem2y0mcg8z220n65x03sytmzsevprkd


Welcome. Are those AB foothills I see in the banner?


Hey thanks a million for this nostr:npub1eseajvcuqgk6dy98zndje76hcd485zwmhjx4ztgnw4yruq68lhxq45cqvg. It's definitely along the track of what I was looking for.

How hard is it to hard code into these relays to pull data? As in, if we wanted to build a client or client-like app?


Ya WoS is centralized, but non-KYC, but they pulled their USA app. I still like them just because they're easiest. Self-custody lightning is insanely complicated IMO. But don't be surprised if you get rugged on WoS, even though I trust them. Just full disclosure.

As for zaps. Ya, kinda like a "superlike" I guess. I personally think zaps are overblown, but all the hardcoiners think its godly. The use case is still evolving.

I have seen someone post about needing to raise money for a crisis, and got zapped at least 1 million sats. Being able to donate directly on the post is a handy use. Post distribution and donation is directly linked. So that use-case is nice. But ya, verdict is still highly out.

I'm not a blind worshipper of anything. But you'll find a lot of blind worship here. There's promise, to be sure.


Sometimes Staying Silent is NOT an OPTION ! #quote
https://quotefancy.com/media/wallpaper/3840x2160/2019962-Nelson-Mandela-Quote-Fools-multiply-when-wise-men-are-silent.jpg


Meshtastic


Not true. I use WoS. The hardcoiners will lose their shit hearing that. But you can add whatever lightning wallet you prefer, to your Nostr client. Then you can accept zaps.


Whoa whoa whoa, above? 🤣


You guys also have that loophole on the Wyoming/Montana border where you can dump the bodies, right? Like they teach on Yellowstone? 🤣


Took the wife 2.5hr to watch a show tonight because the power kept going out.

I said: "Ya it kept getting interrupted with all those lengthy ads for communism." 🤣


Some new Scott Stapp since there's so many Creed lovers on here tonight. 🤣

#teamcreed
#creed

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NNDzdkbcYUQ&ab_channel=NapalmRecords


Stapp it. 🤣 🤣


Is there a way to read live events from any given relay in sequential order?

Like clients are reading relays, how? Does a service exist that I can view a relay's "feed"? I'm not looking for a client. But basically so I can see what a client would see, from any given relay.

I want to see all event data from all npubs on that relay. Relays are all public, right?

Talk to me like I'm 12. I'm not a coder.
#asknostr


a16z is a complete clownshow.

I mean Mark is literally known for building Netscape. The shittiest browser in history. Not even a quarter-hit wonder. No surprise he picks shitty company after shitty company.

Funds a known loser (Adam Neumann) twice. Total joke.


They do account creation by email?!

How do they host? Centrally?


Profit is good. It's a motivator to create. So profit isn't the problem. The capital market is.

Right now, IPO's are used as an exit strategy only. Why? The entire point of issuing stock is to RAISE money. To build!

But an IPO can cost $100m due to regulation, reporting, and insider fees. Therefore it's only feasibly used as an exit strategy. It's fucked. Going public should cost pennies, and be doable by anyone.

A $5m venture startup should be able to issue stock/coin/etc to instantly raise money for their venture. No regs. The market can do its own DD. Even an average Joe's Electrician company should be able to issue $100k.

Raising capital shouldn't be limited to backroom VC's or banks. It should be open and cheap. Full democracy and openness.

So to me, a fully democratizing the capital market can achieve more than anything to do with open source. No matter how noble OS may be.

nostr:note1670qzh20np0cc70z5njnpuncwj5t0pnm42uw6j79gw3u45rwq67q4m8036


Into a halving?! Not advisable.


Electric 👏 ⚡


If you just got a follow from me, it's because you're on Karnage's mute list.

Which is a follow endorsement in my eyes.

#FuckKarnage


🤣 🤣 🤣  BitMoon, ya, Karnage is one of them.

This clown follows 675 people and mutes 800+.

Give it a week, you'll be on his list next.


Your mute list is 826. Public app, remember. Go back to Reddit, Twinkle-toes. You're a phony.

https://m.primal.net/HgoU.png


Amazing how many soft cunts there are on Nostr.

It's a free speech app. If you're blocking users en masse, you don't deserve Nostr or free speech. Shut your Nostr account down and go back to the padded cells of Zuckerbook, Shitter, InstaScam, and the Reddit beta boy club.

Grow a pair of balls.

The last thing a free speech movement needs is a bunch of cowardly block happy little snowflakes.


Au contraire. I told all of these clients exactly how to penetrate, survive and profit.

-Push notifications
-Feed curation
-Ads with creator revenue sharing

That's it. Do those 3 things to become a 100m+ app virtually overnight.

Instead, these clients focus on trinkety solutions, are bleeding cash, and aren't achieving network effect. Absolutely predictable.


"Speak up"

From the guy with the 1,000 person mute list. 🤣 🤡

You fucking clowns are the reason this app hasn't penetrated mainstream.


Still showing 795 for you on my end...

https://image.nostr.build/0025827879e6c1405d82f614f59553f70cd1dd225089dbfb7c000376dbf7da57.jpg


Friday is the only day you should watch Mainstream News.

Because you'll see exclusively the stuff they're trying to hide from you. #FridayNewsDump


🤣 Can you imagine trying to vacuum that thing? haha My OCD is crying


Beauty. Does it go to his homepage at www.liar.com ?


Miners will experience great pain post halving.


Heed caution around $80k. It could be the top.

Relatively smooth sailing to there though.


Bitcoin just hit $8k from $69k.


Govern me harder daddy


We have arrived at our destination. Enjoy the stay.


$16k. I mean I tried mining it back in like 2011 when it was single digits, couldn't figure out how.


The 2 potential Bitcoin counts now. Clear sailing to $75k on both. Then coin toss between the two. Heed caution at $80k. ⚠

Remember I called the start of this move at $16k, Nov 2022. I'm not a permabear. I'm not a permabull. I just read the charts.

https://m.primal.net/HfVr.png


Posting updated counts now nostr:npub14qt30q0an6gwmcl2gnwu5hf6h7pgl68wm6c082asm5l9vdtzu87q0z9htj


Smooth sailing to $75-80k. Only minor corrections in between. But at $75k, start getting worried. At least for the near term, possibly for the longer term.

I was just victory lapping on trolls today on all platforms. 🤣 🤣


Posted in November. Remember, TA is fake guys.

https://m.primal.net/HfVQ.png


I know no one on here follows Bitcoin.

But it's called a cryptocurrency, and it just hit $52,000.


Bread and circuses, and they'll never revolt.

Superbowl and craft beer for the sheep.🐑🐑


Nostr devs have no idea what they're doing.


Boys play GTA.

Men play Cities: Skylines.


Man. Executional errors.

If you're short of money, stop taking on new projects and focus on monetizing existing ones. Get ads, notifications, and feed curation going on iOS. Get cash flowing.

Worry about Android later. If you don't cash flow, you die. That should be priority number 1, and building Android puts you no closer to that end.


Inject ads into the feed. Don't over complicate it.


Same. Had issues Christmas Day. WoS to WoS not sending. Blink to WoS not sending. Not good. Lightning has severe problems, and thus, so does Bitcoin.


Is Lightning⚡ down? Both WoS and Blink transactions are not working for me.

Tried 5 sends, only 1 snuck through... The test failed. Apps even struggled to load.

Cell network is fine, all other Non-Lightning apps work and pull data. Something seems up.

https://image.nostr.build/203b4e3c7b68779628c03a2e4d4d926fc70c43c01dca38dc36eca20e19de097b.jpg#m=image%2Fjpeg&dim=720x1600&blurhash=%5BLAJc%25%23%3AWBSL0KJRWVsV%7EWwys%3AW%3A4nWVj%5Bjt%3FvS2WVo2DiwyjuWoyXJRf*soMKwyoKSL%25%23NuWVo2&x=8fda19df98212a9f8cbfa64264f4ddea8f8af893d1fd9b12b90187319428509f


Transaction fees just hit the highest since the 2021 bull run.

https://m.primal.net/HUJG.png


Bread and circuses my friend.


100% agree. But the problem originates higher upstream to Bitcoin itself.

The whole reason Lightning exists is because of flawed slow BTC block time.

Fork it. Reduce block time to 2 sec. Make block size unlimited. Mint all 21m instantly.

TPS goes to the moon. Layer 2 is unneeded. Fees plummet. Energy efficiency soars. And security is virtually unaffected.


Is this thing on? Stopped using.


This is Elon's 5,000 current SkyNet satellites. He's launching 12,000, up to possibly 42k.

The Kessler Effect is when one satellite crashes into another, creating a cascade of collisions. Creating a virtually impenetrable cloud of orbital debris, travelling 30,000km/h, which could take decades to burn up. Halting virtually all space activity.

This is terrifying.

https://m.primal.net/HTth.mp4


They care about someone's safety, but it ain't ours.


The best tax is no tax. The second best tax is property tax.

Think about it:

-Income tax punishes work, and requires tracking of your activities to calculate the tax.

-Import taxes require tracking of your imports.

-Sales tax requires tracking of your company's sales and clients.

-Capital gains tax requires tracking of your investments.

They all require tracking. Which is highly bureaucratic. And it's highly invasive.

But property tax?

Property tax requires nothing. Especially if calculated based on square footage, or total bedrooms.

You don't even have to live in the property. The government doesn't need to know who lives there, or what any of them do. Privacy.

Simply pay $x/bedroom, everyone's happy. No tracking, no invasion.


Invalidated due to break above 4610-4630.

https://m.primal.net/HTne.png


SPX 30%+ crash count INVALIDATED. This complicates all markets. SPX and Bitcoin.

The alternate SPX count is quite clear. How it syncs with Bitcoin, is NOT clear. When I can make sense of it, I'll post.

Large conflicts between SPX and BTC count should be treated with caution. These 2 markets typically move in lock-step.

https://m.primal.net/HTne.png


Over a billion, three hundred million, trillion, three hundred million dollars!


Front run. Exactly nostr:npub14qt30q0an6gwmcl2gnwu5hf6h7pgl68wm6c082asm5l9vdtzu87q0z9htj. Everyone keeps posting the "post halving price action chart". Recency bias. Market doesn't care.

When everyone is using the same indicator, that indicator should not be trusted.

I even notice it when EW comes into flavor every now and again. It'll stop performing as well, and more complex EW patterns will occur to trip up the noobs.

When everyone agrees, no one's thinking.


Hey. So many scammers and posers post charts. Wouldn't blame a person for distrusting them.

LOVE that Nostr doesn't allow edits or deletes. True track records are excellent.


 nostr:npub14qt30q0an6gwmcl2gnwu5hf6h7pgl68wm6c082asm5l9vdtzu87q0z9htj Exact. November's wedge/pause was Blue 2.

We're in the heart of Blue 3 now. Target: $50-55k imminent (by Christmas).

Then similar pause in Blue 4, through Jan. Not much, maybe $4-6k drop.

Then blue 5 into $60-65k region into Feb/Mar to complete Yellow 3.

THEN you'll get your sizable pullback. Note Yellow 2, it was long and shallow. EW's guideline of alternation tells us Yellow 4 will be sharp and fast. I suspect 20-30%. So from the $60k Yellow 4 high, that could bring us back down to $40k.

This will really fuck with the suckers. ETF approval, everyone chases and market rugs them with 20-30% drop. Then resumes in Yellow 5 en route to $100k (ish) somewhere in the May-Aug range.

After that, GTFO of Bitcoin and all macro markets. Macro dump begins then. Hope helps!

Now if these fucking miners would get their asses in gear, because that's how I played BTC to gain beta. They've barely moved since Sept. Grrrrr.


No one should be surprised by BTC's move. I literally posted 4 days ago that $50-55k was imminent.

nostr:note1mm52syvxmj97w53t6txqgpsq7aqtw2fw4usjcra7ar45lwfk55usrhm9th


nostr:npub1hymqekqgkf8vhlgr2a0n6cmmre3v48l2g9dvv7mvtvg7790j35rqh3ntt0 There. Now you're seeing the chart play out EXACTLY as expected.

https://image.nostr.build/a38d22e150357e7e21e640a8087685f01b330bad809aa3366dfdd3902218738a.jpg


Holy shit. Is this using Helium or completely independent? A workable LoRa setup has been on my to-find list, but I could never figure out a way to actually USE Helium.


Also have no problems. But there's definitely pockets of censorship going on up here.


Yup. Wave 3 in progress, the most powerful section of the upswing.


This is awesome. There are so many massive accounts of influence that use their platform irresponsibly to extract money from their "sheep".

Selling trash. Endorsing scams. Promoting willy nilly. Causing massive destruction.

While I don't think that's typically Ronaldo (I don't follow sportsball). And I disagree with gov/lawsuits....

Pushing large influencers to consider the power they yield with a large follower count, and to use it responsibly, is a damn good thing.

https://m.primal.net/HSMX.png


Primal is pretty much my go to. But I do find it misses adding reactions/comments to it's notification tab.

Some. Say 20% ghost.

The rest I find reliably on Amethyst.


BITCOIN: Wave 3 of Wave 3 breakout IN PROGRESS. Target $50-55k within 6 weeks. Likely sooner.

Wave 3 is the most powerful Elliott Wave. It's the heart of the parabola. Social media euphoria and early crypto bro delusions confirm this. Enjoy the ride.

https://m.primal.net/HRoP.png


The Federal Reserve is failing due to an expanded balance sheet, and excessive use of debt to spend.

What's MSTR doing? Expanding its balance sheet and using excessive debt to buy.  🚩⚠ 🚫 ☢ 🤡

Do not follow this Drunken Saylor blindly. Buy some Bitcoin. But NEVER use debt you can't repay.

https://m.primal.net/HRjl.png


Bingo. Bitcoin worship is toxic. 🚩

Look at its strengths and weaknesses, and how they apply to the desired effect.


Herds gonna herd.


Thanks bud, meant to look this renewal number up.

At $6T, that's default territory. So they'll be back to ZIRP within a year to "avoid".


Default imminent. Thus ZIRP imminent to "avoid" defaulting. Brrrrrrr


Holy shit is the timeline fast on there. Fastest of any client I've used. Thx.


Why are these uncalloused hosts laughing? Is this guy's opinion not mainstream sentiment yet?

I can tell you it's becoming so here in Canada for a variety of reasons.


Blink 182's adversity overcoming and reconnection story is amazing. Wicked tune too.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FGouJkBD0ps&ab_channel=blink-182


This guy speaks my mother fucking language. Fuck ya bud! Followed.


Here for the info too. Does it take a rake? Is it fully decentralized (protocol, mechanics, etc)?


$50k soon. Possibly by 🎅🌲


Get that phone-to-phone NFC tapping built now, so we can skip the QR codes.


When push notifications?


It will pop up. Next stop $50k in very short order. Possibly before Santa.

https://m.primal.net/HQxP.png


Depends. If one considers BCH an alt-coin, I guess.

But in year 2140, all BTC are mined and this happens anyways. Long after we're gone, sure.

But test it now, as a window into the future, to see what happens. If it can't survive now, it won't survive then.


Someone should fork Bitcoin and mint all 21,000,000 instantly.

Scrap block mining and switch straight to transaction fees.


All gov services stop = Excellent. How do we make this happen?

Private sector gets bloated = True. Insurance is possibly even less efficient than gov.

You American's are so weird with your HOA's. How there isn't a national uprising over them is beyond me. That ain't "land of the free" I can tell you that much. lol


This is spot on. I've solved massive problems by launching startups that I wasn't even able to monetize. Costed me money.

Then you've got a government/union worker making $100k a year to start at 10am, take a 2hr lunch at 11am, and go home early at 3pm. Who does absolutely nothing of value.


Haha funny you mention that. My anon/alt acct personality is leaking out more on Nostr. NFG though.


TV prices go down -> Sale! Buy!😃 🥳 🎉
Gas prices go down -> Boo ya! 😃 🥳 🎉

House prices go down -> Someone call the government. We've got ourselves a crisis. 🤦♂ 🙄 🙍♀ 🤣


They created reusable toilet paper. 🤣


Canadian Bank + Credit Union Capitalization rates. Some are downright scary.

And the insuring agencies have less than 1.5% of the assets required to cover the industry they insure.

https://m.primal.net/HRUF.png


This hits so close to home. I've pretty much just stopped trying to solve problems until the system burns itself down.


Good reminder. Hideout in the woods is good too. Anywhere but cities.


Right, but self custody Bitcoin + Lightning will also eventually get banned.

So as the temperature heats up, you'll eventually be forced to choose:

Will you continue living on your knees, or stand up and die on you feet? I chose the latter.


That's notional value before they go Weimar.