Oddbean new post about | logout

Notes by Toby McMann | export

 Absolute power corrupts absolutely.

nostr:nevent1qqsdgs3gu97m3cfq5frva3u7v2mlmejfpzynrqz9t7lnu26lzrmnv0qpp4mhxue69uhkummn9ekx7mqzyr70wzj9e75p064gzwum4z3ht4cn6vtf7j3870w2c02fzyklvlfhuqcyqqqqqqg8wrgj5 
 Ignore them. Be the change we need. 
 A omniscient calm, staring deep into my soul, reducing us to a humble state of vulnerabilty! 
 GOOD MORNING NOSTR, STAY HUMBLE AND STACK SATS 🫡 
 ODELL, ignore the folks this week saying you should go back on Twitter. 

Freedom tech maximalists are Nostr only. They just are.

"Engagement whores" confuse ego with what truly drives lifesaving change. 
 Terrific conversation. While listening you can almost feel the overton window stretching, and the world starting to come around, with more and more folks (like the Colonel) talking publicly about bitcoin's strategic importance. 
 The people who are already giving up on the idea that we can protect #Bitcoin from capture becaus... 
 Classy. 
 GOOD MORNING NOSTR, IT IS IMPORTANT TO RENOTE GOOD NOTES AND FOLLOW MORE PEOPLE ON NOSTR SINCE WE... 
 Here, here.

Also remember Silicon Valley is captured, and under the thumb.  The platforms and networks you choose are very important,  as is how you interpret messaging from those that are controlled. 
 The moment you realize those positioning themselves as the problems solution are its root cause. #truth

nostr:note10nr65a6amcfyjcx7cef35846r47xgv73esl0cr7hj5lv2ac5txjsc3jsh2 
 IT HAS COME TO MY ATTENTION THAT PEOPLE ON TWITTER ARE FRUSTRATED THAT I TALK ABOUT NOSTR "TOO MU... 
 Twitter users are like addicts who need an intervention. Tough love: show some self respect and stop supporting platforms captured by the State. Be your own person. Control your own destiny. Stop thinking you need Twitter to be cool or important or make money. You do not. The same way you don't need fiat or central banking to be rich. 
 Once per season I tend to proactively shake off some followers to avoid audience capture.

This s... 
 Next year maybe it will protect against audience capture from the politicized Princeton simps? 
 Don't underestimate RFKjr's presidential candidacy. 
 Be your own Blackrock
Don't be Larry Fink's bitch.

nostr:nevent1qqs83d3vuyg55mg8nl8uhaewrftt6607xgwh5w9r9y3h9w8z0y3ykfgpr3mhxue69uhkummnw3ezucnfw33k76twv4ezuum0vd5kzmqzyqd0urr5u0thsn46jwj787j4ffhwkqvj35f88xhghfyry7rgpr3k6qcyqqqqqqg9q5ael 
 GOOD MORNING NOSTR, THE SUIT MARKETS DO NOT OPEN FOR ANOTHER TWO HOURS LMFAO - STAY HUMBLE AND ST... 
 GM. I'm using the time to re-listen to CD92. Shriver is such a boss. A pure expression of the mission. 
 I like to stack bitcoin, and to a lesser extent stack stocks and gold and real estate.

However, ... 
 Maybe I am not understanding, but if you have $100k set aside for consumption over the next year (ie, liquidity needs), are you saying it is prudent to take out a $100k mortgage to hedge against monetary inflation?

Current mortgage rates are 6-7%. 6 month CDs (ie, where you might park your savings) is paying about half that in the US. 

Do you really think the risk of short term monetary inflation is worth the delta (ie, around 3%), and then that real estate is a good hedge (after fees associated with the mortgage, etc)?

What am I missing? 
 Bitcoin and Nostr doesn't need Princeton. 
 we hear the same from bitcoin
influencers who, in whole or Parr, reject nostr for Twitter. I wonder if their primary motivation is building their own brand, or helping the mission.  Associating with the Princeton name helps the former, and I didn't see that many plebs in the audience. 🤔 
 NOSTR IS PURE FREEDOM.

LIVE LIFE WITHOUT PERMISSION.

NOSTR ONLY. 🫡 
 Every day the freaks push humanity forward in giant leaps. 

Stack sats. Stay humble. USE NOSTR.
 
 GOOD MORNING NOSTR, STAY HUMBLE AND STACK SATS 🫡 
 Freaks stack, boys count. Enjoy the day. 
 #bitcoin is truth at the speed of light, a network for sovereign individuals to repulse the lies, reject the manipulation, and build for the future. 


https://m.primal.net/HcMQ.jpg
 
 GOOD MORNING NOSTR, LISTENING TO THE WORLD WAKE UP WITH THE SUN RISE IS THE BEST WAY TO START THE... 
 Easy is the byproduct of hard. 

Keep moving forward. We are with you. 
 Most VC are nothing more than market timers, who use specks of truth to inflate bubbles and talk up their book, before dumping it on retail. They delude themselves and others into thinking they are smarter and doing God's work.  In reality, they are weak, soft-handed, whiny babies and overpaid pond scum. So, will they follow Chamath in thinking Bitcoin is the story for 2023, shit all over the space, splash the table, and leave a mess...you can bet on it.  But, bitcoin doesnt care. Nor do I. 
 Prices cycled higher through the late 1960s and 1970s, which makes sense: 

Money gets debased by government. Prices go up. People save more in response to higher prices, reducing demand for money, and prices go down. Government then stimulates, with further monetary debasement, to discourage savings, and prices go up faster, causing more savings. Rinse, repeat.

We shouldnt be surprised in this cycle repeats, as well, in the 2020s. The problem is government manipulation of money supply. #bitcoin


https://m.primal.net/HcBg.jpg
 
 GOOD MORNING NOSTR, LIVE LIFE WITHOUT PERMISSION 🫡 
 Always ask yourself, have I put myself in the best position to win?  
 Be humble....

nostr:nevent1qqsxl0sjgxwgc88e09xxuexqlvzd7f6y44dkrvsjnj0raf6c6zgcf8qpp4mhxue69uhkummn9ekx7mqzyr70wzj9e75p064gzwum4z3ht4cn6vtf7j3870w2c02fzyklvlfhuqcyqqqqqqgvy9eet 
 Ten31 understands bitcoin and it's ecosystem like few others, with conviction enhanced by unique strategic and futurist strengths. Great read.

nostr:nevent1qqsgq2xhkcnc7n2vvpjchzkr9pnc5r09acdkcjm5uxms5tel3rynl0gpz3mhxue69uhkummnw3ezummcw3ezuer9wcpzpfsm7xxdt7juz36s9atpeq65agcg8j4elmwl583g8lwcyh0nd4kvqvzqqqqqqy66sujj 
 Money printers are warming up, as central banks again prepare to rescue us from a problem they created. The latest fuel for the dumpster fire? Commercial real estate losses. 

In the GFC, all it took was Goldman marking down its portfolio (after first shorting the market!) to cause contagion.

At present, the Chinese are selling real estate around the globe to meet cash calls on failed projects. (They've also been stacking physical gold for years.)

US regional banks are again teetering.

Both the Fed and ECB are publicly saying commercial real estate is a problem.

And so it continues. Buy #bitcoin. 
 GOOD MORNING NOSTR, FREEDOM IS NOT GRANTED, IT IS TAKEN AND DEFENDED 🫡 
 PSA, freaks: Protect yourselves from the growing dumpster fire of commercial real estate, and the flood of monetary debasement/theft which will follow. 

Stay humble, stack sats, like the boss you are. 
 #Bitcoin now the world’s 10th largest asset:

1. Gold = $13.8T
2. Microsoft = $3T
3. Apple = $2... 
 There goes the neighborhood! 🤣🫡

nostr:nevent1qqsrh5jlw72jwue6t02a85z7m3mgp6a7jfjjudmrcear33l9uxh5augpz3mhxue69uhhyetvv9ujumn0wd68ytnzvupzptf0euk3cuthtrj6ctf0axkz8uu84n0thfw8nhzpjdygt25werlkqvzqqqqqqyja3sc9 
 Monetary debasement is theft from the productive class, by the ruling class. 
 Good morning!  Cockadoodledoo (TX time).

Good article. The deleveraging will continue. Central bankers aren't immune to gravity. Nature wins, eventually and always. 
 A good piece to give those that might be skeptical...

nostr:nevent1qqsph2hyzh7uwtpwdc758u8dxa7d06wkusk934e20emzq8lgzy7eudcpr4mhxue69uhkummnw3ez6ur4vgh8wetvd3hhyer9wghxuet5qgsvfr3f7p95stxqrjslnmuvsmhcxxxqt8swjdfjx5tz7zq0yms5cygrqsqqqqqp5jhntm 
 GOOD MORNING NOSTR, PUSH FORWARD, NEVER STOP 🫡  
 That is what she said. 
 GOOD MORNING NOSTR, I HAVE NOTHING WITTY TO SAY BUT IT FEELS IMPORTANT TO SEND THIS POST EVERY MO... 
 Progress, not perfection. Onward. 🫡 
 GOOD MORNING NOSTR, STAY HUMBLE AND STACK SATS 🫡 
 ...AND DO SO WHILE WAKING UP BEFORE EVERYONE ELSE IN THE HOUSE.... 
 Progress...

nostr:nevent1qqsqpny7nqr8tggktwrwcp4q2czwa4u4zy6zkp9mmevcyec2hr9cpyqpzpmhxue69uhkummnw3ezuamfdejsygzsm98u9kzcp35zkpc62shck8335gqtq5yt4w26xwl0pp2a72qavvpsgqqqqqqsxk4pe6 
 FWIW I DO NOT WANT TO BE THE MAIN CHARACTER.

ONCE WE GET NOSTR BOOTSTRAPPED IM GOING TO FADE INT... 
 Be the change you want to see. 
 Terrifying ... stocks and bonds with custodians are, legally, not your property. Worse, they are likely being used to fund massive financial risk without your consent. It is the biggest con game in history. And if you don't understand who the sucker at the table is, it is you. #bitcoin

nostr:nevent1qqs8wmvxntk0n7kl4xg3ghlqadufdj60969u7w5da4lcuza33a86h4spp4mhxue69uhkummn9ekx7mqzyqrzz79jhf7hecvrdj3seh7k5nmg8a224xcq7zym8uu4ef8cj2u76qcyqqqqqqg2g5aha 
 GOOD MORNING NOSTR, WAKING UP EARLY IS A SUPER POWER 🫡 
 NO ALARM. 

NO CAFFEINE.  
 Periods of rapid change, or prolonged debasement, erode societal trust.

nostr:nevent1qqs0jf4czcgnq6rddxrd72lpdegzf5x7gx3kenzce3a0cqd8c3cvdqcpzpmhxue69uhkummnw3ezuamfdejsyg9expy6dcj50gm2w6fdjrjt42qfqyjjv964g6shxd69fhhe4d5axqpsgqqqqqqs7f7l5k 
 The Fed is trying to normailze. But the US government is still spending like a drunk sailor.  

M3 includes debt deposits up to 2 years and institutional money market funds.  It captures more of the government money printing. 

It's chart shows money supply is still going up.

Printers gonna print.
 
 Politicians and banks are financial junkies hooked on credit. Not pretty. Protect yourself. Detach with compassion, but detach. #bitcoin

nostr:nevent1qqsxltzqmr50r4awwg3ruqathe77htet0u9s39gpeyj8q7q2c3ukppqpz3mhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuerpd46hxtnfdupzqmjxss3dld622uu8q25gywum9qtg4w4cv4064jmg20xsac2aam5nqvzqqqqqqyu5l854 
 Interesting. If you don't mind me asking, from where do you get the M2 data/chart? 
 What do you do when faced with fear? Do you react quickly, blame others, stick your head in the sand, or follow the crowd? Or do you take a breath, dig deep for the truth, take responsibility, and find comfort in your own abilities? 
 You could also do the same meme with a keynsian elite not understanding inflation. 
 The 2024 election will be the most annoying election of our lifetimes. 
 Just ignore it. 
 So Keet is going crazy today… 😆 
 Me too. Spins and spins, after working fine about 12 hours ago. Maybe the spike in demand overwhelmed it? 
 Truth --> Trust --> Success

nostr:nevent1qqswej0z0dmxahdjntgd4d907kku7fwa9nax8vxn882m9pk4x8c8y6spzpmhxue69uhkummnw3ezuamfdejsyg8u7u9ytnagzl42syaeh29rwht385ckna9z0u7u4s75jyfd7e7n0cpsgqqqqqqs27y4yf 
 Many who are self-taught far excel the doctors, masters, and bachelors of the most renowned unive... 
 My economics thesis professor encouraged graduate work for me, admitting after four years of study that everything I'd just learned didn't work in the real world, and that there was opportunity to contribute to the field if I continued.

He was right, and so was I not wasting more time and energy on failed Keynsian theory.

nostr:nevent1qqs8dy2yrw4svv8n3wkwsmgnm665mjmdsdpkske9ncw4nxkk85q95pcpzpmhxue69uhkummnw3ezuamfdejsyg9expy6dcj50gm2w6fdjrjt42qfqyjjv964g6shxd69fhhe4d5axqpsgqqqqqqsnrx352 
 REMINDED TWITTER NORMIES TO STAY HUMBLE AND STACK SATS FOR 280 MORNINGS STRAIGHT DURING THE GENER... 
 In the peaceful BITCOIN army, we do more before 9am than most people do all day. Be all you can be. Stay humble, stack sats...before dawn, and all day long. 
 
nostr:nevent1qqsw8unnnm7f5p52nmzagp9u802ahxdy5t85r64kq7f9krtmnp8h9lgpz3mhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuerpd46hxtnfdupzqw8e5pwpuxyqgy9gn9pjd78jg3027ghek2mvz0f0pyvdn95enlqyqvzqqqqqqypt8fs9