Astronomer math is fun because you can be way off and it kinda doesn't matter.
> There are maybe 100 million bitcoin owners. There are soon going to be 10 billion people, increasing at an exponential pace. If we want 10% of people to trustlessly self-custody (this is a very low bar) we need to scale 100x.
This was 10x too high.
> Quantum computers are coming. Post quantum signature schemes A) will require a soft fork and B) are also very large, so let's divide transaction throughput by 10-100x.
This was 10x too low.
It's a wash. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯