nostr:npub1hk4mlaam68ftq2fcrs0nkppn83h76njah5plwty3vpxc0f35zqcql0578k nostr:npub1hcc5kv2zwcnlwdthxru8cf8avcetpet86n9ymtgpm897dvml6wwsgk4xws

No you misunderstood what I said.  First, per the WHO, our best estimate is that LC happens 1 in 10 infections

First off, yes the average across all infections might be 1 in 10, that does not mean your first infection is 1 in 10 as is your second infection. It means when you average it all out it will be 1 in 10. Most studies are looking at the overall average and not differentiating if its your first or second infection.  The evidence we have is that reinfection increases, not decreases, your chance of long covid, just as covid increases risk across the board for a number of other diagnoses like heart disease and diabetes

Yes this is true, nor contrary to what I said.

If you have been infected twice you are, obviously, at a higher risk for having a long term complication than being infected once. That doesnt contradict the idea that on your second infection your risk of long term harm is less than on your first.

I’ll give an arbitrary example that is easy to understand. If on your first infection of covid you have a 1 in 5 chance of long term complications, then on your second infection you have a 1 in 15 chance. Then a person who has been infected twice still has an overall chance of long term complications of about 1 in 4 (so higher than someone infected once). Carry this out to multiple infections and while each infection does increase the risk the risk from any one individual infection is less.

Of course any of this is mostly speculation considering we dont have enough data yet to really make long term conclusions.  If your glasses fog, you haven’t found a mask that fits properly - if it’s sealing correctly, it shouldn’t fog your glasses nor should it be uncomfortable to breathe.

Any mask that seals enough not to fog my glasses is still extremely uncomfortable for many other reasons. I am not wearing hazmat equipment for the rest of my life, full stop.