A shocking number of people email me and ask about bitcoin price predictions over the next 3-9 months or so.

They’re generally along the lines of, “Okay, but what do you think the odds are that we have a big recession, get a liquify shock, and bitcoin retests $30k? I read this article by [insert macro permabear] and he said that…”

I’m going to start replying with nothing but my pictures of beaches or something. Very few people build wealth by trying to catch every twist and turn of the market. Focus on long-term trends. https://image.nostr.build/f6e7b51bb4c552e9c405ccdee42dd792e214f42a22184d18479e8b1c9b1a8dc7.jpg


I'm building wealth by having piece of mind.


Niiiice

Niiiice


Well said. I'm just going to live my life, stack sats, DCA and forget about it. the rest will take care of itself. it's inevitable at this point.


Onward 🫡

Onward 🫡


Will the beach have a liquidity shock?


Translation: Tell me when to buy for sick fiat gainz, so I can blame you if I buy the top.
Just send all those closet fiat maxis to your spam folder.  They don't deserve a reply.


This is what the professional fiaters in Tradfi asset management do.  They don't actually know what they are doing; simply asking a teacher for the answer.

They don't understand the business they are in.


I respect people who can sincerely say "I don't know".


I just follow 4 year trends, that is all.


This is the way.  Dont buy all at once, buy in slowly over time a little every month and forget about it.


when people ask me that I usually take it as "how do I build wealth without doing any work". Anyway, beach looks 🔥😎


Agreed


I see no #Fish in the water. I was promised #POF


Got to go to the Read Sea for fish. Here’s a pic I took snorkeling a couple years back. https://image.nostr.build/bd766161e485d8cb2304e723ce9ca7cb7ff22de6507c2f3dd6a2f9bf3d2e0403.jpg


Ah… I need to go a deserty place to find Fish now. What luck? Looks like all the fish in the west are taken. Thanks though.


send them pictures of grass
and add 'touch grass'


nice beach, where is it?


Someone tell daddy pig that the price has to stay low so that lightning channel provision remains economical.


need to take a pic of that beach with GFY written in the sand 😂


Great post 👍

Great post 👍


Pictures are worth a thousand permabears.


lol, Lyn is the best


Onward 🫡

Onward 🫡


Nice 🧡

Nice 🧡


Go touch some sand.


Touch water, stay humble and stack sats. Is it the Mediterranean sea? Have a short flight to SSH and then go to Dahab. It's still a bit like a Hippy village. The Cairo kids going there to have party, smoking weed, drinking beer, while police is looking the other direction.


And off course a lot of fish. Snorkeling, diving, everything.


4 years +, problem solved 😂


You have taught people to fish… but they still would rather have everything handed to them


If you don't buy when the price drops, when will you buy?

I don't believe people bought bitcoins with anything other than spare cash. Those who bought a few years ago are now worth ten times what they were worth. I doubt anyone is cashing in.

nostr:nevent1qqsdkl9q0w6wyj7x8uxajcs6xwrmuev0tu4874etvdg4eyhefgwy4pgpz4mhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuerpd46hxtnfduhsyg82krn4d5etsz7dge8nmpztspqrqvr45yl2hs6enfmzexk84wglfupsgqqqqqqseymqu3


A shocking number of people email me and ask about bitcoin price predictions over the next 3-9 months or so.

They’re generally along the lines of, “Okay, but what do you think the odds are that we have a big recession, get a liquify shock, and bitcoin retests $30k? I read this article by [insert macro permabear] and he said that…”

I’m going to start replying with nothing but my pictures of beaches or something. Very few people build wealth by trying to catch every twist and turn of the market. Focus on long-term trends. https://image.nostr.build/f6e7b51bb4c552e9c405ccdee42dd792e214f42a22184d18479e8b1c9b1a8dc7.jpg


Maybe they are bots


My other client had trouble with the video upload, but on Primal it seems fine.
https://m.primal.net/JBxD.mov


Beautiful 😻


Lovely - I spent my childhood in such a place and this brings back memories.


A quick way of showing how (most) permabears function on youtube, you can just show their video thumbnails for the last year or so. It often says "here it commes, now it's serious" in every single video.


Well that earns a Donk Star from me. Well played. 🤟🏽


Touch sand.

🫡


Can you just post pictures of beaches anyway. That’s a really nice pic


Bitcoin Power Law is the simplest of the long term trend models, and imo is quite beautiful.

https://onebig.life/powerlaw

https://m.primal.net/JCEp.png

I've just built this page showing the beautiful straight log-log regression line, with a price/date calculator. No trackers and no VPN blockers (I'm talking to you, Bitbo charts). Just a free service from one bitcoiner to others.


Lettuce hands. Though i am highly interested in the 10-12 year frame. Bitcoin factors huge in my retirement planning.


Onward 🫡

Onward 🫡


check your privilege... if you don't need to spend from your bitcoin bag and have a healthy source of income then ok... but if you are living and paying bills from your stack then a 30k retracement can be catastrophic... you either cant afford food anymore or end up depleting your stash... so price awareness is important for everyone who is living on a bitcoin standard and is not well off


there is no place for your name in bitcoin


What is your price prediction over the next 1-2 months Lyn?


Ok. 1 week price prediction perhaps.


anything between 46k -75k


Which piece?


So what you’re saying is we should email asking what you think the price will be in 10 years?


The frontal lobe.


It’s a nice slice of brain.


Indeed, 2nd only to the cerebellum.


🤗 🤙🏼 love it, “perspective training”! https://image.nostr.build/25a20bcae25a3edb7e70d36dec067e3e6d128a1decb355513afcb36e299d3bed.jpg


nostr:nprofile1qqsw4v882mfjhq9u63j08kzyhqzqxqc8tgf740p4nxnk9jdv02u37ncpz4mhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuerpd46hxtnfduhsj0xvsn what phone do you use to take your photos. They always good great.


Somewhere, Northern Greece

https://m.primal.net/JUcv.jpg