Oddbean new post about | logout
 I probably shouldn't post because I know nothing.  I just wanted to say that we are in the "fog of war" phase and either story could be true.

Could be that Maduro is using military force to "win" an election where the people are mostly voting against him. I see evidence of him using force, and also of lots of people reporting that he is widely disliked.  The longer a leader serves, usually the more disliked he is, so it's quite possibly true.

Could also be that foreigners like the CIA are staging a coup against him, paying for rent-a-revolution mobs (people do anything for money) and spinning the media. They have been trying to oust him every election so far.

I don't trust anybody and luckily for me it doesn't matter.