People seem confused as to why governments shutdown these platforms. It’s in general not for the speech on them, or the algorithms. It’s about compliance. If you run a system where you can comply and don’t it really upsets a state which is trying to make order and sense out of a very disorderly society over which it claims sovereign power. 

Bluesky won’t get blocked because they’ll comply with government orders and remove content and users from their servers. My worry is Bluesky has designed the ATproto with a system by which there are centralized forms of takedown. If it were just removing content from their servers, that’d be fine, similar to how Nostr works. Then the government could go chasing every relay operator and slowly try and remove content, but It would be a game of whackamole. 

Elon could comply, he does in lots of other places, but he’s picking a fight with a center-left government as part of a broader political / culture war. He takes down stuff for the US, Indian, Saudi governments all the time. 

Anyway, Bluesky won’t be blocked in Brazil, both because of how the company is run, but also how the underlying tech works. Bluesky will happily remove folks from their servers, encouraging them to host their own. If a judge orders bluesky to block content from its servers from other ATproto servers, then we’ve got something interesting, and I think ultimately which doesn’t end up advancing free speech.