Oddbean new post about | logout
 The Russian Nuclear Doctrine allows the use of strategic nuclear weapons to respond to any attack aimed at crippling Russia's nuclear forces.  That requirement has already been fulfilled, via the strikes on it's strategic defense radar and strikes on the Engel's airbase hosting Russia's strategic nuclear bomber fleet, and destroying multiple bombers.  According to their doctrine, Russia could launch nukes at any time.  They aren't doing it presumably because they don't want to end the world.  But this is encouraging the West to continue attacking Russia's nuclear infrastructure.

I don't think this state of affairs can possibly last much longer. I think we will have a nuclear detonation within 30 days.