Oddbean new post about | logout
 I had a different poll planned with more options (accidently posted a draft the other day and deleted it, my first delete ever)[^1] but as I was browsing the Disclosure Diaries site I found their ["Four Viable Explanations" for UAP.](https://www.disclosurediaries.com/explanations/) 

I want to try to find as many edge cases as possible before posting a more in depth poll, so I thought this was a good enough place to start. 


>**A. Systematic Error**
This category suggests that observations of UAPs are the result of consistent mistakes made by human observers/sensor installations, such as pilots and radar operators. These mistakes lead to the perception of objects that aren't actually present.

>**B. Systematic Deception**
This category involves the idea that there is a coordinated effort to deceive others into believing in the existence of UAPs with unusual performance characteristics. Motives for such deception can vary, but one aim could be to create a perception of anomalous technology that your adversaries now have to spend resources to look into.

>**C. Real Human Secret Technology**
This category proposes that UAPs are genuine physical objects, but they are **EXCLUSIVELY** products of advanced secret human technology. These technologies are being withheld for strategic and geopolitical reasons.

>**D. Real Non-Human Technology**
This category suggests that UAPs are the result of **EXCLUSIVELY** technological creations that originate from sources other than humans. This could involve extraterrestrial or non-human intelligence.

**E. Both C and D**
Pick this if you think UFOs are a mix of man-made crafts **AND** non-human intelligence (either nuts-and-bolts alien crafts or immaterial beings, angels, demons etc.).

**F. Interested but undecided** 
My interest in the topic is not 0%, but I haven't had enough time to a formulate an opinion on the matter yet.

**G. No interest at all.**
Muted this territory a long time ago, you're wasting your sats cowboy.

**H. My viewpoint is not represented on this poll.**
Obviously there's more options, comment below yours and I will try to make the next poll better.

[^1]: I accidently posted this poll too 🙃, I keep hitting shift-enter for some reason