A couple of thoughts triggered by that. (Not organised as a narrative.)
🧠 The population collapses are well advanced and may not be stopped.
🧠 Japan may turn out to have handled it very well, time will tell.
🧠 I hear that China may have embarked on the worst collapse yet.
🧠 In calculating kids I suggest looking at a single generation only (getting 2.1 kids though!). Betting on an unknown future may be unwise.
🧠 There is talk of ecological overshoot, I don't know enough to model and estimate that (yet), but I see counter measures in the rewilding movements. If those ideas are meaningful, then the demographic transition might save the planet.
🧠 I've seen many talk about the problem but not about plausible solutions. The automation in the Ukraine War suggests that we now have the power to automate cheaply, that will play a role.
🧠 Conventional government economics, and many "models" of society, sometimes seem intent on kicking the can down the road.
(If this doesn't publish right, its my first Nostr post, I will learn!)