Oddbean new post about | logout
 Neither you nor I "Know" what Russia does or doesn't have, militarily. I find it very very hard to believe that Russia doesn't have satellite technology to detect incoming ICBM's, I might, of course, be wrong though.  
 Anyone who says that the nation who invented space travel doesn't have equivalent or better technology than NATO makes me laugh. 
 That was my thinking my friend🤷🏻‍♂️. Back in the Cold War days, they almost certainly would have, so why not now🤔.  
 Now they reveal less.
But even their outdated stuff is kicking ass now.

I dont understand how people think that if the USA couldn't win in Afghanistan, Iran, Syria, Vietnam, they think they can win in Ukraine?

 
 It is bizzare mate. I follow geopolitics quite closely. Ultimately though, despite what we think we know, we know nothing. Nothing can be proved, everything is deniable. That is a consequence of the post truth era.  
 Agreed, but we can speculate intelligently and call out ridiculous speculation at the same time 😉 

 
 Indeed. @Little Mikey D did elaborate on his initial post some moments ago with a concession or two. That's what I like about this space. Reasoned debate as opposed to outright abuse. Well done gentleman🫂.  
 I'm not saying it, I'm expressing what I heard in this video meeting.

It was a suprise to me to hear that, and I certainly would have presumed otherwise, and that they would have had such systems at least since the 1980s. They shouldn't be hard to acquire or design/build and then launch.  So like you I'm skeptical of that statement, and maybe the people in this meeting aren't vetting their sources well enough. 
 You're a very knowledgeable guy and I really like reading your notes, it's nice to have a reasoned debate as opposed to an argument. Refreshing🙏🏻. 
 Then there is this from CNN lol....

https://edition.cnn.com/2019/02/11/politics/pentagon-russia-china-laser-threat/index.html

 
 Yes and I've heard of (other? maybe the same) Russian satellite 'vehicles' launched into the orbit of a US government satellite and "tailing it" 
 Russians were first in space.  Americans were so far behind they had to fake moon landings to save face.

Before Elon Musk and Space X the International Space Station relied on Russian Soyuz to get astronauts to and from ISS. 

Still, i don't think these things matter and only people like you Mike even care about them.

i doubt Russia will launch nukes at anybody, although it is always a good idea not to live next to any potential target of a nuclear attack.

i remember after 911 working in Manhattan on relocating a bank datacenter out of NYC to secure it from nuclear attack and thinking - what about me ?  i am still here LOL.

i'm not in Manhattan now but i am within biking distance of a couple of air force bases that are legitimiate targets.  

i should move out of here LOL.